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World - Oats - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Report Update: Nov 1, 2024

World - Oats - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Sep 12, 2018

Global Oat Market Is Losing Its Steam

IndexBox has just published a new report "World: Oats - Market Report. Analysis And Forecast To 2025". Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

Oats are widely used both in animal feeding and human consumption, with oat flour and flakes being consumed as an ingredient for oat cookies and other bakery, as well as in cereal breakfasts. In 2017, the volume of the global oats consumption stood at approx. X tons, not moving far from the 2016 figure.

After the volume of oat consumption peaked of X tons in 2007, from 2008 to 2017 it stood at a somewhat lower level and has failed to reach the 2007 figure in the X year period analyzed. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011, an increase of X% against the previous year level, indicating a worldwide post-crisis production growth and stabilization. Overall, 2007-2017 the market has been experiencing -X% CARG as a result of losing its attractiveness as animal feed compared to mixed feed, inability to compete with more profitable wheat and grist, and market over-supply in 2011 and 2013 which dropped prices, further discouraging oat farmers.

Russia (X tons) dominated the consumption of oats in 2017, accounting for X% of the world market. Russia's leadership is due to traditionally popular habit of using oats for food consumption and animal feed, and a relatively large population. Other large consumer countries are the U.S. (X tons) and Canada (X tons), together comprising X% of total consumption.

According to IndexBox forecasts, oat is losing its popularity globally as an animal feed, and some farmers also find it less profitable than growing wheat or grist, affecting the global scale of production and consumption. However, the Chinese market has a low degree of saturation which gives hopes to producers worldwide on increasing prices and consumption volumes as China is to start bringing their tariffs down in early 2019. Therefore, as some of the Chinese trade schemes have already been settled (with Australia, for example), and the Chinese market is expected to improve further, it is projected that the performance of the global market is forecast to attain a moderate growth. Thus, the volume of consumption is set to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +X% from 2018 to 2025 to a figure of X tons in 2025.

How to Choose the Best Export Market for Suppliers of Oats

IndexBox analysts expect that one of the crucial initiatives to be considered by local producers in the long run would be the search for new overseas markets. Our analysts developed a step-by-step algorithm for solving this problem, based on the use of big data, which are processed by the IndexBox AI Platform. The decision-making logic is shown in the figure below.

In the process of determining the best export prospects, it is necessary to answer four key questions:

X.Which markets performed best in terms of oat sales in the last X years? And which markets were among the outsiders?

X.Which countries are the most promising, in terms of oats consumption growth, and which ones are already saturated?

X.In which countries are local producers unable to satisfy the increasing demand for oats? Or, in some cases, which countries do not produce oats, at all?

X.Which markets are the most profitable for oats producers?

Previously, in order to answer these questions, analysts would need at least X weeks and over X sources of information. Today, using only one tool - the IB AI-platform, you can answer this question in less than X minutes.

So, here is the first chart and the first question: Which markets performed best in terms of oat sales growth in the last X years and reached high figures in 2017? And which markets were among the outsiders? Here we will compare the volumes of consumption and growth rates for all the countries under review.

We can see that our target is represented by large and growing markets, such as Brazil (X tons), The UK (X tons), Argentina (X tons), China (X tons) and Chile (X tons) also constituted the largest markets in 2017, but their growth rate was somewhat lower than that of Brazil. On the other hand, Russia (X tons), the U.S. (X tons), Canada (X tons), Poland (X tons) and Germany (X tons) constitute the world largest markets, but they are not currently expanding.

Next question: Which countries are the most promising, in terms of oat consumption growth, and which ones are already sufficiently saturated?

Here we estimate the average per capita consumption in 2017 and its dynamics since 2007.

The chart enables identifying markets with a large and growing average per capita consumption. This group includes Latvia (X kg per person), Norway (X kg per person), also Poland (X kg per person), Chile (X kg per person) and Romania (X kg per person). A large and growing per capita consumption signifies consistently high popularity of oats in these markets. However, it might be a sign that these markets are close to saturation. Besides, in Finland (X kg per person), Sweden (X kg per person), Denmark (X kg per person), the per capita consumption is the world's largest, but its growth in the past X years has been comparatively low, which also indicate high market saturation.

In the third step, the question is the following: In which countries are local producers unable to satisfy the increasing demand for oats if they produce it at all?

Further, our task is to identify countries with a high share of imports, which will testify of the existing infrastructure for importers and market prospects for organizing new supplies.

The diagram shows that Germany with X tons and China with X tons of oats imported in 2017 are by far the largest importing markets that have been growing rapidly for the past X years. Mexico (X tons), Sweden (X tons) and Latvia (X tons) are also among large and growing importers. The U.S. (X tons) is the largest importer overall, but alongside with Spain (X tons), the UK and some others, its imports growth remains quite slow or even negative, compared to the leading countries.

Finally, basing on the counties left after our selection process, we will find markets with high and growing import prices to identify the most profitable ones to exports to.

These countries include France ($X per ton), the UK ($X per ton), Denmark ($X per ton), and Italy ($X per ton). Nonetheless, despite somewhat lower prices, China is one of the most promising markets due to its growing oat consumption, and high demand for imports.

Summary

Comparing the results of the X diagrams, we can state that China, France, the UK, Denmark and Italy now appear to be the most promising markets for foreign suppliers of oats in the world. In these countries, there is either a significant or rapidly growing volume of imports. Moreover, import prices in most of the above-mentioned countries remain relatively high. On the other hand, the US is also an interesting option as the oat imports there are sufficiently large and import prices are growing slightly.

Using the IB AI-platform you can perform such an analysis and many other operations yourself. Our specialists will be happy to answer questions. It's our job to help you make informed decisions.

Do you want to know more about the global oat market? Get the latest trends and insight from our report. It includes a wide range of statistics on

  • oat market share
  • oat prices
  • oat industry
  • oat sales
  • oat import
  • oat export
  • oat market forecast
  • oat price forecast
  • key oat producers

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global oat market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 75 - Oats

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
    3. HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY

  8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

    The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

    The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    • United States
    • China
    • Japan
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Brazil
    • Italy
    • Russian Federation
    • India
    • Canada
    • Australia
    • Republic of Korea
    • Spain
    • Mexico
    • Indonesia
    • Netherlands
    • Turkey
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Switzerland
    • Sweden
    • Nigeria
    • Poland
    • Belgium
    • Argentina
    • Norway
    • Austria
    • Thailand
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • South Africa
    • Malaysia
    • Israel
    • Singapore
    • Egypt
    • Philippines
    • Finland
    • Chile
    • Ireland
    • Pakistan
    • Greece
    • Portugal
    • Kazakhstan
    • Algeria
    • Czech Republic
    • Qatar
    • Peru
    • Romania
    • Vietnam

  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    7. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    8. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
    11. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    12. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    13. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023

  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Consumption, By Country, 2023
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    10. Production Volume And Growth
    11. Yield And Growth
    12. Exports And Growth
    13. Export Prices And Growth
    14. Market Size And Growth
    15. Per Capita Consumption
    16. Imports And Growth
    17. Import Prices
    18. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    19. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    20. Area Harvested, 2012–2023
    21. Yield, 2012–2023
    22. Production, By Country, 2023
    23. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    24. Harvested Area, By Country, 2023
    25. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    26. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    27. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    29. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    30. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    32. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    34. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    35. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    36. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    37. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    38. Export Prices, 2012–2023

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