Worldwide Bakers' and Active Yeast Market Expected to Reach 9.7M Tons by 2030 with a CAGR of +1.4%

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The demand for bakers' and active yeast is on the rise globally, with market volume projected to reach 9.7M tons and market value to hit $38.6B by the end of 2030. This growth trend is expected to continue over the next seven years, driven by increasing consumption.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for bakers' and active yeast worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.4% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 9.7M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.1% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $38.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Bakers' And Active Yeast

In 2023, the amount of bakers' and active yeast consumed worldwide totaled 8.8M tons, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the consumption volume increased by 4.1% against the previous year. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 9M tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global active yeast market revenue expanded notably to $31.2B in 2023, growing by 6.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the market value increased by 9.9%. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (1.4M tons), the United States (697K tons) and India (491K tons), with a combined 29% share of global consumption. Japan, Pakistan, Nigeria, Brazil, Indonesia, Germany and Mexico lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 18%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +7.8%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Japan ($10B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($3.4B). It was followed by the United States.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of value in Japan amounted to +1.0%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+0.6% per year) and the United States (+0.2% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of active yeast per capita consumption in 2023 were Japan (2.3 kg per person), Germany (2.3 kg per person) and the United States (2.1 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +5.6%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Bakers' And Active Yeast

In 2023, the amount of bakers' and active yeast produced worldwide amounted to 8.8M tons, approximately equating the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 4.6%. As a result, production attained the peak volume of 8.9M tons. From 2022 to 2023, global production growth remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, active yeast production rose markedly to $31.9B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Global production peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Production By Country

China (1.5M tons) remains the largest active yeast producing country worldwide, accounting for 17% of total volume. Moreover, active yeast production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (615K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (481K tons), with a 5.5% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China was relatively modest. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (-3.0% per year) and India (+2.1% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Bakers' And Active Yeast

In 2023, overseas purchases of bakers' and active yeast were finally on the rise to reach 889K tons after two years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 10%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 942K tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2023, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, active yeast imports expanded notably to $2.1B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when imports increased by 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2023 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

In 2023, the United States (92K tons), followed by France (59K tons) and Poland (57K tons) were the main importers of bakers' and active yeast, together making up 23% of total imports. The following importers - Brazil (29K tons), Germany (26K tons), the UK (24K tons), Sudan (20K tons), the Czech Republic (19K tons), Algeria (19K tons) and Greece (19K tons) - together made up 18% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Greece (with a CAGR of +5.8%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($326M) constitutes the largest market for imported bakers' and active yeast worldwide, comprising 15% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by France ($117M), with a 5.5% share of global imports. It was followed by Brazil, with a 3% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in the United States amounted to +6.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: France (+5.1% per year) and Brazil (+2.3% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average active yeast import price amounted to $2,404 per ton, rising by 11% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.2%. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($3,551 per ton), while Poland ($772 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the UK (+6.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Bakers' And Active Yeast

For the sixth consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in overseas shipments of bakers' and active yeast, which increased by 1.2% to 865K tons in 2023. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by 9.6%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum in 2023 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, active yeast exports soared to $2B in 2023. Overall, total exports indicated a buoyant increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +71.9% against 2013 indices. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2023, China (149K tons), followed by Mexico (96K tons), Turkey (94K tons), Canada (61K tons) and Italy (47K tons) represented the major exporters of bakers' and active yeast, together comprising 52% of total exports. Ukraine (36K tons), Hungary (34K tons), Poland (32K tons), Egypt (30K tons) and Russia (22K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of +21.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest active yeast supplying countries worldwide were China ($372M), Turkey ($240M) and Canada ($178M), together comprising 39% of global exports. Italy, Egypt, Mexico, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Ukraine lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 23%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Russia, with a CAGR of +22.3%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average active yeast export price amounted to $2,342 per ton, increasing by 14% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.3%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2023, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Egypt ($3,322 per ton), while Mexico ($921 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hungary (+8.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform