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World - Alumina - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Report Update: May 1, 2025

World - Alumina - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Nov 4, 2024

Alumina Market Faces Record Price Surge Amid Guinea Export Disruption

According to Mining.com, the alumina market is currently experiencing a dramatic price spike, threatening to reach the record high of $707.75 set in 2018. This surge has been exacerbated by an export disruption in Guinea, a top bauxite producer, significantly impacting China, the world's leading aluminum producer. As the crisis unfolds, traders are scrambling to secure alumina supplies, driven by a 20% price increase this month alone.

China's reliance on Guinea for bauxite is profound; it sources 70% of its import needs from the West African nation. The consequences of Guinea's export ban on Emirates Global Aluminium have rattled markets, with Chinese port inventories reportedly at their lowest since 2015. Additionally, trading in alumina futures in Shanghai has intensified as stakeholders seek to mitigate the supply shock.

Global Export Dynamics

Despite this turbulence, a handful of countries remain pivotal in the global alumina market. Data from the IndexBox platform highlights the top five countries in terms of export value as of 2023:

  • Australia leads with exports valued at USD 5.417 billion.
  • Brazil follows with USD 2.649 billion.
  • India's exports stand at USD 814.323 million.
  • China has an export value of USD 603.257 million.
  • Indonesia rounds out the top five with USD 596.282 million.

These figures illustrate the complex interdependencies within the alumina supply chain, with Australia's leading role underscoring its strategic importance.

Market Reactions and Future Outlook

Duncan Hobbs from Concord Resources Ltd. warns that the current market conditions reflect the vulnerabilities inherent in the sector. While some analysts anticipate a rebound in alumina output, immediate challenges remain. The repercussions for global aluminum production are significant, with potential risks including curtailed production and a tightening metal supply.

BMO Capital Markets' analysts suggest that Guinea's export ban could serve as a strategic maneuver to elevate royalties and hasten investment in local alumina refineries. Meanwhile, Emirates Global Aluminium seeks clarity on the stoppage, emphasizing the potential lack of legal justification given their investment commitments in Guinea.

In terms of aluminum trade, prices on the London Metal Exchange have mirrored the alumina turmoil, with metal prices rising as much as 1.9% recently. While resolution efforts are underway, ongoing monitoring of the market's balance over the coming months is critical for stakeholders.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global alumina market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • Prodcom 24421200 - Aluminium oxide (excluding artificial corundum)

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Company coverage:

Alcoa, Rio Tinto, Hydro, The Aluminium Corporation of China, Compagnie des Bauxites de Guinea (CBG), United Company RUSAL Plc, Norsk Hydro ASA, Odisha Mining Corp Ltd., PT Aneka Tambang Persero Tbk, Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd., Century Aluminum Co., Magnitude 7 Metals LLC, Metro Mining Ltd., Orbite Technologies Inc., Jingxi Tiangui Aluminum Co. Ltd, Guangxi Huasheng New Material Co. Ltd., Guizhou Galuminium Aluminum Co. Ltd., China Power Investment Corp., Henan Xiangjiang Wanji Co. Ltd., Bosai Minerals Group Ltd., Lagune Exploitation Afrique Ltd., Alufer Mining Ltd. Washington Mills Electro Minerals

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY

  8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

    The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2024
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

    The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2024
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    • United States
    • China
    • Japan
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Brazil
    • Italy
    • Russian Federation
    • India
    • Canada
    • Australia
    • Republic of Korea
    • Spain
    • Mexico
    • Indonesia
    • Netherlands
    • Turkey
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Switzerland
    • Sweden
    • Nigeria
    • Poland
    • Belgium
    • Argentina
    • Norway
    • Austria
    • Thailand
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • South Africa
    • Malaysia
    • Israel
    • Singapore
    • Egypt
    • Philippines
    • Finland
    • Chile
    • Ireland
    • Pakistan
    • Greece
    • Portugal
    • Kazakhstan
    • Algeria
    • Czech Republic
    • Qatar
    • Peru
    • Romania
    • Vietnam

  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2024
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    3. Market Value, 2012–2024
    4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2024
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    6. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    7. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    8. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024
    9. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    10. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    11. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024

  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    2. Market Value, 2012–2024
    3. Consumption, By Country, 2024
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    10. Production Volume And Growth
    11. Exports And Growth
    12. Export Prices And Growth
    13. Market Size And Growth
    14. Per Capita Consumption
    15. Imports And Growth
    16. Import Prices
    17. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    18. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    19. Production, By Country, 2024
    20. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    21. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    22. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    24. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    25. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    26. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
    27. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    28. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    30. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    31. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    32. Export Prices, 2012–2024

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