Australia's Lamb and Sheep Meat Export Revenue Drops 8% to $3B in 2023

Australia Lamb and Sheep Meat Exports

In 2023, exports of lamb and sheep meat from Australia skyrocketed to 574K tons, rising by 25% on 2022. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, lamb and sheep meat exports shrank to $3B (IndexBox estimates) in 2023. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a tangible increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 28%. The exports peaked at $3.2B in 2022, and then reduced in the following year.

Exports by Country

China (197K tons) was the main destination for lamb and sheep meat exports from Australia, accounting for a 34% share of total exports. Moreover, lamb and sheep meat exports to China exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, the United States (80K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by Malaysia (32K tons), with a 5.5% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to China stood at +5.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the United States (+4.6% per year) and Malaysia (+5.3% per year).

In value terms, the largest markets for lamb and sheep meat exported from Australia were China ($732M), the United States ($697M) and the United Arab Emirates ($180M), together comprising 54% of total exports. South Korea, Malaysia, Japan and Saudi Arabia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 17%.

In terms of the main countries of destination, South Korea, with a CAGR of +25.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports by Type

Frozen sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) (327K tons) was the largest type of lamb and sheep meat exported from Australia, accounting for a 57% share of total exports. Moreover, frozen sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) exceeded the volume of the second product type, frozen sheep (including lamb) boneless cuts (89K tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by fresh or chilled sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) (67K tons), with a 12% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the volume of frozen sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) exports totaled +3.6%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: frozen sheep (including lamb) boneless cuts (+4.6% per year) and fresh or chilled sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) (+3.2% per year).

In value terms, frozen sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) ($1.3B) remains the largest type of lamb and sheep meat exported from Australia, comprising 44% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by fresh or chilled sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) ($641M), with a 22% share of total exports. It was followed by frozen sheep (including lamb) boneless cuts, with a 16% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of the value of frozen sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) exports totaled +5.0%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: fresh or chilled sheep (including lamb) cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses) (+5.3% per year) and frozen sheep (including lamb) boneless cuts (+5.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2023, the lamb and sheep meat price amounted to $5,151 per ton (FOB, Australia), which is down by -26.4% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated slight growth from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 24% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $6,998 per ton in 2022, and then dropped sharply in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($8,732 per ton), while the average price for exports to Papua New Guinea ($3,131 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to South Korea (+3.9%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform