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U.S. - Crude Petroleum Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Report Update: Feb 1, 2025

U.S. - Crude Petroleum Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Jan 27, 2025

Big Oil's Conservative Spending Strategy in 2025 Amid Political Pressure

Amid calls from President Donald Trump to accelerate drilling, U.S. oil and gas firms are expected to continue a cautious approach to spending in 2025, focusing on maximizing shareholder returns. This conservative strategy remains prevalent despite political pressure to "drill, baby, drill," as detailed in a recent article on Yahoo Finance.

The current climate in the oil sector reflects a tension between political agendas and investor expectations. According to projections from the Energy Information Administration, benchmark Brent crude oil prices are anticipated to average $74 per barrel in 2025, down from $81 in 2024. This price trajectory is influencing the industry's strategy, with Scotiabank analysts forecasting up to 5% production growth this year alongside flat to slightly reduced capital expenditures for the sector.

Exxon Mobil deviates from the trend with plans to significantly boost production, aiming to more than triple its output in the Permian Basin and achieve 1.3 million barrels per day in Guyana by 2030. Chevron, conversely, is projected to follow a conservative growth path, increasing production by about 3% in 2025 with mid-single digit growth expected in 2026. Analysts from Barclays suggest that Chevron is likely to announce a dividend increase of at least 5% over the previous year.

ConocoPhillips is focusing on shareholder returns, setting the stage for low single-digit production growth following its $22.5 billion acquisition of Marathon Oil. Meanwhile, Occidental and Diamondback Energy are adjusting their strategies post-acquisitions, with production growth remaining flat as they prioritize higher free cash flow and adjusted profits.

As U.S. energy companies report on their fourth-quarter earnings, they continue to balance reduced global oil prices, fluctuating demand after the pandemic surge, and pressure from national economic conditions such as those in China. This strategic restraint underscores a commitment to disciplined capital management, aligning with expectations for regulated expenditures unless market conditions necessitate increased drilling activities.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the crude oil market in the U.S.. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

    Country coverage:

    • United States

    Data coverage:

    • Market volume and value
    • Per Capita consumption
    • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
    • Trade (exports and imports) in the U.S.
    • Export and import prices
    • Market trends, drivers and restraints
    • Key market players and their profiles

    Reasons to buy this report:

    • Take advantage of the latest data
    • Find deeper insights into current market developments
    • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

    This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

    In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

    1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
    2. How to load your idle production capacity
    3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
    4. How to increase your profit margins
    5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
    6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
    7. How to outsource production to other countries
    8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

    While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

    1. 1. INTRODUCTION

      Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

      1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
      2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
      3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
      4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

    2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

      A Quick Overview of Market Performance

      1. KEY FINDINGS
      2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

    3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

      Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

      1. MARKET SIZE
      2. MARKET STRUCTURE
      3. TRADE BALANCE
      4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
      5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

    4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

      Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
      2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
      3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
      4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
      5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

    5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

      Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
      2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
      3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
      4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

    6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

      Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
      2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
      3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
      4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
      5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

    7. 7. PRODUCTION

      The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

      1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE

    8. 8. IMPORTS

      The Largest Import Supplying Countries

      1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2024
      2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
      3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

    9. 9. EXPORTS

      The Largest Destinations for Exports

      1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2024
      2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
      3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

    10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

      The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

    11. LIST OF TABLES

      1. Key Findings In 2024
      2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      3. Market Value, 2012–2024
      4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2024
      5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024
      8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024

    12. LIST OF FIGURES

      1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      2. Market Value, 2012–2024
      3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2024
      4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2024
      5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2024
      6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2024
      7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2024
      8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
      9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
      10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
      11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
      12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
      13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
      14. Production Volume And Growth
      15. Exports And Growth
      16. Export Prices And Growth
      17. Market Size And Growth
      18. Per Capita Consumption
      19. Imports And Growth
      20. Import Prices
      21. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      22. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      23. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      24. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      25. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
      26. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      27. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      28. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024
      29. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      30. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      31. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
      32. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      33. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      34. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024

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