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Brazil - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Report Update: Nov 1, 2024

Brazil - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Mar 17, 2023

The Cost of Green Coffee from Brazil Has Decreased, Now Priced at $3,825 per MT

Brazil Green Coffee Export Price in December 2022

In December 2022, the green coffee price amounted to $3,825 per ton (FOB, Brazil), shrinking by -6.5% against the previous month. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in February 2022 an increase of 8.1% against the previous month. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $4,109 per ton in May 2022; however, from June 2022 to December 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major overseas markets. In December 2022, the highest price was recorded for prices to Belgium ($4,279 per ton) and France ($4,087 per ton), while the average price for exports to Colombia ($3,038 per ton) and Argentina ($3,235 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From January 2022 to December 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Italy (+1.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Brazil Green Coffee Exports

After three months of growth, shipments abroad of coffee (green) decreased by -15.8% to 182K tons in December 2022. In general, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in June 2022 with an increase of 27% month-to-month. The exports peaked at 231K tons in February 2022; however, from March 2022 to December 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green coffee exports dropped dramatically to $697M (IndexBox estimates) in December 2022. Overall, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in February 2022 when exports increased by 31% month-to-month. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $922M. From March 2022 to December 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Brazil Green Coffee Exports by Country

The United States (37K tons), Germany (24K tons) and Italy (16K tons) were the main destinations of green coffee exports from Brazil, together accounting for 43% of total exports. These countries were followed by Belgium, Japan, Colombia, Turkey, the Netherlands, South Korea, Spain, Argentina, the UK and France, which together accounted for a further 37%.

From January 2022 to December 2022, the biggest increases were in Argentina (with a CAGR of +10.7%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($140M), Germany ($97M) and Italy ($63M) were the largest markets for green coffee exported from Brazil worldwide, together comprising 43% of total exports. These countries were followed by Belgium, Japan, Turkey, Colombia, South Korea, the Netherlands, Spain, the UK, France and Argentina, which together accounted for a further 36%.

Argentina, with a CAGR of +8.9%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

What It Means for Producers and Consumers

As demand for sustainable and eco-friendly products continues to rise, the cost of green coffee beans have historically increased. However, in recent news, the cost of green coffee beans from Brazil has decreased, now priced at $3,825 per MT. This is great news for coffee roasters and coffee shops alike who are looking to offer high-quality coffee to their customers while also supporting environmentally responsible practices.

The decrease in price is largely due to an increase in supply from Brazil, the largest coffee producer in the world. In addition, the Brazilian Real has weakened against the US Dollar, making it more affordable for buyers. This comes at a key time as the coffee industry is facing increased pressure from consumers to offer more sustainable and ethically sourced products.

However, just because the cost of green coffee beans has decreased, it doesn't necessarily mean that the overall cost of producing sustainable coffee has gone down. In fact, many coffee farms and co-ops are investing more in eco-friendly practices such as water conservation, natural pest control, and fair labor practices which can increase the cost of production. This can ultimately translate to increased prices for consumers.

But, with the decrease in cost of green coffee from Brazil, consumers can expect to see more affordable prices for sustainable coffee in the near future. The industry as a whole is making strides towards more environmentally responsible practices and the decrease in cost of green coffee beans is just another step in the right direction.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the green coffee market in Brazil. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 656 - Coffee green

Country coverage:

  • Brazil

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Trade (exports and imports) in Brazil
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE
    3. TRADE BALANCE
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION, HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD

  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2023
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023

  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2023
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    14. Production Volume And Growth
    15. Yield And Growth
    16. Exports And Growth
    17. Export Prices And Growth
    18. Market Size And Growth
    19. Per Capita Consumption
    20. Imports And Growth
    21. Import Prices
    22. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    23. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    24. Area Harvested, 2012–2023
    25. Yield, 2012–2023
    26. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    27. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    29. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    30. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    32. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    34. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    35. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    36. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    37. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023

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