Worldwide Bumper Market to Experience Modest Growth with +2.0% CAGR from 2024-2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Bumpers - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

Driven by rising demand, the bumper market is forecasted to have a +2.0% CAGR in volume and +3.6% CAGR in value from 2024 to 2030, indicating a positive upward consumption trend in the industry.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for bumper worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next six years. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 19M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.6% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $281.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Bumpers

In 2024, global consumption of bumpers totaled 17M tons, approximately reflecting the year before. In general, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when the consumption volume increased by 2.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume at 18M tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global bumper market revenue totaled $228.3B in 2024, standing approx. at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when the market value increased by 5.8%. Global consumption peaked at $229.7B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

Japan (6.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of bumper consumption, comprising approx. 37% of total volume. Moreover, bumper consumption in Japan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, China (3M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (2.8M tons), with a 16% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume in Japan totaled -1.7%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: China (+7.3% per year) and India (+0.5% per year).

In value terms, Japan ($127.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($18.6B). It was followed by the United States.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Japan was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: China (+8.0% per year) and the United States (+4.1% per year).

In 2024, the highest levels of bumper per capita consumption was registered in Japan (52 kg per person), followed by Mexico (5.1 kg per person), Brazil (4 kg per person) and Russia (3.6 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of bumper was estimated at 2.1 kg per person.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the bumper per capita consumption in Japan amounted to -1.4%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Mexico (-3.5% per year) and Brazil (-5.8% per year).

Production

World Production of Bumpers

In 2024, global bumper production reached 17M tons, approximately equating the previous year. In general, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 with an increase of 2.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak volume at 18M tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bumper production reached $229.9B in 2024 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 6.8%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $231.4B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

Japan (6.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of bumper production, comprising approx. 37% of total volume. Moreover, bumper production in Japan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, China (3.1M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (2.8M tons), with a 16% share.

In Japan, bumper production shrank by an average annual rate of -1.7% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+7.4% per year) and India (+0.4% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Bumpers

In 2024, the amount of bumpers imported worldwide totaled 715K tons, remaining relatively unchanged against the year before. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 16% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 732K tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bumper imports shrank modestly to $9.1B in 2024. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 21% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $9.4B in 2023, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of bumper imports in 2024 were the United States (84K tons), Germany (75K tons), Spain (73K tons) and Nigeria (63K tons), together reaching 41% of total import. The following importers - the Czech Republic (24K tons), France (21K tons), Slovakia (20K tons), Malaysia (20K tons), the Netherlands (19K tons) and Canada (19K tons) - each amounted to a 17% share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Nigeria (with a CAGR of +28.4%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest bumper importing markets worldwide were the United States ($1.5B), Germany ($936M) and Spain ($395M), together comprising 31% of global imports. Canada, France, Slovakia, Nigeria, the Czech Republic, Malaysia and the Netherlands lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 20%.

Nigeria, with a CAGR of +36.8%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average bumper import price stood at $12,712 per ton in 2024, falling by -4.6% against the previous year. Over the last eleven-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.6%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 an increase of 11%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $13,328 per ton, and then dropped in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($21,014 per ton), while Nigeria ($3,615 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Slovakia (+16.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Bumpers

In 2024, overseas shipments of bumpers decreased by -7.7% to 679K tons for the first time since 2020, thus ending a three-year rising trend. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at 736K tons in 2023, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, bumper exports declined to $8.6B in 2024. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 21%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at $9.4B in 2023, and then declined in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2024, China (119K tons), followed by the Czech Republic (78K tons), Germany (48K tons), Spain (47K tons), Taiwan (Chinese) (36K tons) and the Netherlands (33K tons) represented the key exporters of bumpers, together generating 53% of total exports. Thailand (26K tons), the United States (25K tons), India (22K tons) and Poland (18K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +21.0%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest bumper supplying countries worldwide were Germany ($1.5B), China ($821M) and the United States ($707M), with a combined 35% share of global exports. The Czech Republic, Spain, Taiwan (Chinese), the Netherlands, Thailand, Poland and India lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 25%.

Among the main exporting countries, the Czech Republic, with a CAGR of +13.3%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2024, the average bumper export price amounted to $12,629 per ton, stabilizing at the previous year. Over the last eleven years, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 8.9%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum at $12,728 per ton in 2023, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($31,722 per ton), while India ($6,268 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+7.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform