Global Calcium Carbonate Market to Reach 63M Tons by 2030 with +3.3% CAGR Growth

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The article discusses the anticipated growth of the global calcium carbonate market, with a forecasted CAGR of +3.3% in volume and +5.2% in value from 2023 to 2030. The demand for calcium carbonate is expected to continue rising, leading to market expansion and increased consumption worldwide.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for calcium carbonate worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.3% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 63M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.2% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $29.5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Calcium Carbonate

In 2023, global consumption of calcium carbonate shrank to 50M tons, with a decrease of -2.1% compared with the year before. In general, consumption, however, saw a modest increase. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the maximum volume at 59M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2023, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global calcium carbonate market revenue fell to $20.6B in 2023, waning by -4.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $21.6B, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (11M tons), the United States (8.5M tons) and India (4M tons), together accounting for 47% of global consumption.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +4.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($7.9B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($3.5B). It was followed by India.

In the United States, the calcium carbonate market increased at an average annual rate of +7.1% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+7.5% per year) and India (+3.7% per year).

In 2023, the highest levels of calcium carbonate per capita consumption was registered in Finland (182 kg per person), followed by the United States (25 kg per person), Japan (19 kg per person) and Turkey (10 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of calcium carbonate was estimated at 6.2 kg per person.

In Finland, calcium carbonate per capita consumption contracted by an average annual rate of -6.8% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+1.9% per year) and Japan (+3.6% per year).

Production

World Production of Calcium Carbonate

Global calcium carbonate production declined modestly to 49M tons in 2023, leveling off at 2022. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a modest increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 11% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 58M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2023, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, calcium carbonate production reduced to $21B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when the production volume increased by 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum level at $21.8B in 2022, and then contracted in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2023 were China (11M tons), the United States (8.5M tons) and India (3.4M tons), with a combined 46% share of global production.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +4.0%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Calcium Carbonate

Global calcium carbonate imports contracted remarkably to 4.5M tons in 2023, shrinking by -17.7% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports recorded a perceptible decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 10%. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum at 6.3M tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2023, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, calcium carbonate imports contracted to $941M in 2023. In general, imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by 16% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports reached the maximum at $1.1B in 2022, and then declined in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2023, India (668K tons), distantly followed by Germany (349K tons) and Belgium (329K tons) represented the main importers of calcium carbonate, together achieving 30% of total imports. Qatar (194K tons), Saudi Arabia (180K tons), Russia (162K tons), Indonesia (123K tons), China (99K tons), Algeria (95K tons) and Ghana (94K tons) held a minor share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Qatar (with a CAGR of +31.0%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($73M), India ($69M) and Indonesia ($41M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together accounting for 19% of global imports. Belgium, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Russia, China, Ghana and Algeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 16%.

Qatar, with a CAGR of +26.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average calcium carbonate import price amounted to $209 per ton, with an increase of 4% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.5%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the average import price increased by 14% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Indonesia ($330 per ton), while Belgium ($99 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Saudi Arabia (+5.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Calcium Carbonate

In 2023, overseas shipments of calcium carbonate decreased by -8.9% to 3.4M tons, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Overall, exports saw a noticeable downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 11% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 4.7M tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, calcium carbonate exports fell to $836M in 2023. Over the period under review, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $933M. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports By Country

Vietnam (588K tons), Turkey (418K tons) and Belgium (358K tons) represented roughly 40% of total exports in 2023. Malaysia (215K tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by Egypt (195K tons), the Netherlands (168K tons) and Tunisia (168K tons). All these countries together held near 22% share of total exports. China (125K tons), Spain (96K tons) and Jordan (92K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of +13.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Vietnam ($110M), Egypt ($87M) and Belgium ($71M) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, together accounting for 32% of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, Vietnam, with a CAGR of +14.2%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average calcium carbonate export price stood at $243 per ton in 2023, stabilizing at the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the average export price increased by 17% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $244 per ton, leveling off in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Egypt ($449 per ton), while Tunisia ($99 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Jordan (+11.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform