Global Candied Fruits Market Expected to Reach $3.3B by 2030 with a CAGR of +3.7%

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Fruits, Nuts And Peel (Sugar Preserved) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

The article discusses the growth of the global market for candied fruits, with consumption expected to increase over the next seven years. Market performance, consumption patterns, production, imports, and exports are analyzed in detail. Key insights include consumption trends, market value projections, production volumes, and import-export data for major countries involved in the candied fruit market.

Market Forecast

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for candied fruits worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.4% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 903K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.7% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $3.3B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

Consumption

For the eleventh consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in consumption of candied fruits, which increased by 2.2% to 818K tons in 2023. In general, the total consumption indicated a pronounced increase from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +61.8% against 2013 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

The global candied fruit market revenue rose to $2.6B in 2023, increasing by 2.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a prominent increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +71.7% against 2013 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of candied fruit consumption was China (165K tons), accounting for 20% of total volume. Moreover, candied fruit consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (58K tons), threefold. The United States (57K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 6.9% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China stood at +7.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+5.5% per year) and the United States (+6.0% per year).

In value terms, China ($576M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Japan ($205M). It was followed by Italy.

In China, the candied fruit market expanded at an average annual rate of +9.7% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (+0.1% per year) and Italy (+5.6% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of candied fruit per capita consumption in 2023 were Italy (608 kg per 1000 persons), Thailand (349 kg per 1000 persons) and France (230 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Thailand (with a CAGR of +15.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

Production

In 2023, the amount of candied fruits produced worldwide expanded modestly to 858K tons, surging by 1.6% compared with the year before. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the production volume increased by 8.8%. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 872K tons. From 2022 to 2023, global production growth remained at a lower figure. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a notable increase of the harvested area and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

In value terms, candied fruit production expanded to $2.7B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by 11%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $2.8B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of candied fruit production was China (208K tons), comprising approx. 24% of total volume. Moreover, candied fruit production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (60K tons), threefold. Thailand (58K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 6.7% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China totaled +2.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+5.4% per year) and Thailand (-2.7% per year).

Imports

Imports

For the fourth year in a row, the global market recorded growth in supplies from abroad of candied fruits, which increased by 2.3% to 183K tons in 2023. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 15%. Global imports peaked in 2023 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, candied fruit imports expanded notably to $538M in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 13%. Global imports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

China (34K tons) and Thailand (23K tons) represented roughly 31% of total imports in 2023. It was distantly followed by Kazakhstan (11K tons), Russia (9.6K tons) and the United States (8.9K tons), together constituting a 16% share of total imports. The following importers - the UK (7.6K tons), Germany (6.9K tons), Malaysia (6.8K tons), Spain (5.8K tons), Japan (5.4K tons), France (4.6K tons), Singapore (4.2K tons) and Australia (3.6K tons) - together made up 25% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Kazakhstan (with a CAGR of +50.7%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($130M) constitutes the largest market for imported candied fruits worldwide, comprising 24% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($31M), with a 5.7% share of global imports. It was followed by Thailand, with a 5.6% share.

In China, candied fruit imports increased at an average annual rate of +33.0% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+0.9% per year) and Thailand (+17.3% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average candied fruit import price stood at $2,940 per ton in 2023, rising by 5.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 an increase of 6.3%. Global import price peaked in 2023 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($5,402 per ton), while Kazakhstan ($1,127 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malaysia (+7.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

Exports

In 2023, global candied fruit exports reached 224K tons, standing approx. at 2022 figures. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a slight curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 15% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 255K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, candied fruit exports stood at $806M in 2023. Over the period under review, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 11% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $829M. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports By Country

In 2023, China (77K tons) and Thailand (57K tons) represented the major exporters of candied fruitsin the world, together accounting for near 59% of total exports. Mexico (15K tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by Italy (14K tons) and the Netherlands (10K tons). All these countries together took near 18% share of total exports. Cambodia (9.9K tons), Vietnam (4.3K tons) and India (4.2K tons) took a minor share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Cambodia (with a CAGR of +103.5%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($301M), Thailand ($212M) and Italy ($77M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, with a combined 73% share of global exports. The Netherlands, Cambodia, Mexico, Vietnam and India lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 13%.

Cambodia, with a CAGR of +95.7%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average candied fruit export price amounted to $3,598 per ton, growing by 2.4% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.2%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 an increase of 7% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($5,328 per ton), while India ($1,168 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+3.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform