Global Check Valves Market to Grow at 2.5% CAGR, Reaching $6.5B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Check Valves For Pipes, Boiler Shells, Tanks And Vats - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The article discusses the increasing demand for check valves for various applications, such as pipes, boiler shells, tanks, and vats worldwide. It forecasts a steady upward consumption trend over the next seven years, with a projected CAGR of +2.5% in market volume and +4.5% in market value. By the end of 2030, the market volume is expected to reach 282K tons, with a market value of $6.5B in nominal prices.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 282K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $6.5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Check Valves For Pipes, Boiler Shells, Tanks And Vats

In 2023, after three years of growth, there was decline in consumption of check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats, when its volume decreased by -4.1% to 237K tons. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume at 247K tons in 2022, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

The global check valve market value totaled $4.7B in 2023, increasing by 5.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the global market reached the peak level at $4.8B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of check valve consumption was China (55K tons), accounting for 23% of total volume. Moreover, check valve consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (23K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (22K tons), with a 9.4% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +4.9%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+2.3% per year) and India (+5.1% per year).

In value terms, China ($629M), Japan ($467M) and the United States ($356M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together comprising 31% of the global market. Italy, India, Germany, Mexico, the UK, Thailand and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

The UK, with a CAGR of +10.3%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2023, the highest levels of check valve per capita consumption was registered in Italy (231 kg per 1000 persons), followed by the UK (76 kg per 1000 persons), Japan (74 kg per 1000 persons) and the United States (69 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of check valve was estimated at 30 kg per 1000 persons.

In Italy, check valve per capita consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: the UK (+6.9% per year) and Japan (-0.1% per year).

Production

World Production of Check Valves For Pipes, Boiler Shells, Tanks And Vats

In 2023, after two years of growth, there was decline in production of check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats, when its volume decreased by -0.3% to 215K tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when the production volume increased by 33% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume at 216K tons in 2022, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, check valve production expanded rapidly to $3.8B in 2023 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $4.3B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

China (110K tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of check valve production, accounting for 51% of total volume. Moreover, check valve production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (24K tons), fivefold. The third position in this ranking was held by Italy (17K tons), with a 7.7% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +3.8%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+5.7% per year) and Italy (+4.9% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Check Valves For Pipes, Boiler Shells, Tanks And Vats

In 2023, overseas purchases of check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats decreased by -9.5% to 150K tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a three-year rising trend. Overall, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 8.4% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 166K tons in 2022, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, check valve imports rose slightly to $3.7B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure in 2023 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

In 2023, the United States (27K tons), distantly followed by Mexico (9.5K tons) and China (8.5K tons) represented the main importers of check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats, together generating 30% of total imports. South Korea (5.9K tons), the UK (5.2K tons), Russia (4.3K tons), Malaysia (3.7K tons), Germany (3.7K tons), Japan (3.6K tons) and France (3.5K tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to check valve imports into the United States stood at -2.3%. At the same time, South Korea (+6.9%), Russia (+3.3%), Japan (+2.1%), Malaysia (+1.4%) and the UK (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, South Korea emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +6.9% from 2013-2023. China and France experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Mexico (-1.6%) and Germany (-2.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Korea (+2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2013-2023, the share of the United States (-3.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($506M), China ($452M) and Mexico ($214M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together accounting for 31% of global imports. Germany, the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, Russia and Malaysia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 19%.

In terms of the main importing countries, the UK, with a CAGR of +4.9%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average check valve import price stood at $24,826 per ton in 2023, picking up by 15% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the average import price increased by 19% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($53,491 per ton), while Malaysia ($10,917 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+6.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Check Valves For Pipes, Boiler Shells, Tanks And Vats

In 2023, overseas shipments of check valves for pipes, boiler shells, tanks and vats decreased by -4.8% to 128K tons for the first time since 2020, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, exports saw a mild setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 43% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 149K tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2023, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, check valve exports expanded remarkably to $3.4B in 2023. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 14%. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, recording 64K tons, which was approx. 50% of total exports in 2023. It was distantly followed by Germany (6.2K tons), Italy (6.1K tons) and Mexico (6K tons), together creating a 14% share of total exports. The following exporters - the United States (3.8K tons), Indonesia (3.4K tons), Taiwan (Chinese) (3.3K tons), South Korea (3.1K tons), India (3K tons) and Japan (2.9K tons) - together made up 15% of total exports.

Exports from China increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% from 2013 to 2023. At the same time, India (+12.9%), Indonesia (+2.5%) and Italy (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, India emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +12.9% from 2013-2023. Taiwan (Chinese) and Germany experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Japan (-3.6%), South Korea (-4.8%), Mexico (-10.7%) and the United States (-13.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. China (+16 p.p.), Italy (+4.7 p.p.) and India (+1.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while the United States and Mexico saw its share reduced by -7.7% and -8% from 2013 to 2023, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($600M), China ($588M) and Germany ($478M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, together accounting for 49% of global exports. Italy, Japan, Mexico, South Korea, Taiwan (Chinese), Indonesia and India lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 18%.

India, with a CAGR of +12.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average check valve export price stood at $26,678 per ton in 2023, rising by 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a tangible expansion from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, check valve export price increased by +36.2% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when the average export price increased by 83% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $33,118 per ton. From 2015 to 2023, the average export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($157,113 per ton), while China ($9,141 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+18.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform