Global Cocoa Powder with Sugar Market to See 2.4% CAGR Growth by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Cocoa Powder (Containing Added Sugar) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

Driven by increasing demand for cocoa powder with sugar globally, the market is set to experience growth in both volume and value over the next six years. A forecasted CAGR of +2.4% in volume and +4.7% in value from 2024 to 2030 suggests a positive outlook for the cocoa powder market, reaching 2.5M tons and $11.7B by the end of 2030.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for cocoa powder with sugar worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next six-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +2.4% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.5M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.7% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $11.7B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Cocoa Powder (Containing Added Sugar)

In 2024, the amount of cocoa powder (containing added sugar) consumed worldwide reached 2.1M tons, approximately reflecting 2023. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the consumption volume increased by 1.4% against the previous year. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 2.3M tons. From 2020 to 2024, the growth of the global consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global cocoa powder with sugar market value was estimated at $8.9B in 2024, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 6.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs at $9.9B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (378K tons) remains the largest cocoa powder with sugar consuming country worldwide, accounting for 18% of total volume. Moreover, cocoa powder with sugar consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (151K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by the United States (122K tons), with a 5.7% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: India (+1.9% per year) and the United States (+0.8% per year).

In value terms, China ($2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Japan ($695M). It was followed by India.

In China, the cocoa powder with sugar market remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (-1.2% per year) and India (+1.9% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of cocoa powder with sugar per capita consumption in 2024 were Spain (1,146 kg per 1000 persons), Mexico (700 kg per 1000 persons) and Japan (610 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Mexico (with a CAGR of +5.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Cocoa Powder (Containing Added Sugar)

In 2024, the amount of cocoa powder (containing added sugar) produced worldwide totaled 2.2M tons, remaining stable against the previous year. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 1.8%. As a result, production attained the peak volume of 2.3M tons. From 2020 to 2024, global production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cocoa powder with sugar production amounted to $8.7B in 2024 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 6.9%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level at $9.7B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (378K tons) remains the largest cocoa powder with sugar producing country worldwide, accounting for 18% of total volume. Moreover, cocoa powder with sugar production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (148K tons), threefold. The United States (128K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 5.9% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume in China totaled +1.1%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+1.7% per year) and the United States (+13.7% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Cocoa Powder (Containing Added Sugar)

For the sixth year in a row, the global market recorded decline in supplies from abroad of cocoa powder (containing added sugar), which decreased by -7.9% to 102K tons in 2024. Over the period under review, imports recorded a abrupt descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 8.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 226K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cocoa powder with sugar imports contracted slightly to $380M in 2024. Overall, imports showed a mild curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 10%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $495M. From 2019 to 2024, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

In 2024, Japan (21K tons), distantly followed by France (8K tons) and Nigeria (7.2K tons) represented the main importers of cocoa powder (containing added sugar), together comprising 35% of total imports. The following importers - Egypt (3.7K tons), the Netherlands (3.3K tons), the UK (2.6K tons), India (2.6K tons), Canada (2.6K tons), Saudi Arabia (2.3K tons) and South Africa (2.2K tons) - together made up 19% of total imports.

Imports into Japan increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, India (+51.6%), Egypt (+41.6%), Nigeria (+30.6%) and South Africa (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, India emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +51.6% from 2013-2024. The Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Canada (-1.7%), Saudi Arabia (-3.5%), the UK (-3.7%) and France (-6.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Japan (+12 p.p.), Nigeria (+6.9 p.p.), Egypt (+3.6 p.p.), India (+2.5 p.p.) and the Netherlands (+1.8 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, France ($33M), Nigeria ($29M) and Japan ($27M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, with a combined 23% share of global imports.

Among the main importing countries, Nigeria, with a CAGR of +52.6%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2024, the average cocoa powder with sugar import price amounted to $3,706 per ton, growing by 6.6% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a resilient expansion from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, cocoa powder with sugar import price increased by +65.3% against 2021 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2023 an increase of 49% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2024 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($5,851 per ton), while Japan ($1,316 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (+16.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Cocoa Powder (Containing Added Sugar)

For the third consecutive year, the global market recorded decline in overseas shipments of cocoa powder (containing added sugar), which decreased by -6.1% to 112K tons in 2024. Over the period under review, exports showed a abrupt downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 30% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum at 226K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cocoa powder with sugar exports fell to $343M in 2024. In general, exports saw a perceptible downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 with an increase of 9.3%. The global exports peaked at $499M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports By Country

In 2024, South Korea (30K tons), distantly followed by Thailand (15K tons), Nigeria (9.3K tons), Ghana (9.1K tons), Malaysia (8.4K tons) and the United States (7.1K tons) represented the key exporters of cocoa powder (containing added sugar), together comprising 70% of total exports. Germany (4.8K tons), Singapore (2.2K tons), Belgium (2.1K tons) and China (2K tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Nigeria (with a CAGR of +112.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Nigeria ($44M), South Korea ($35M) and the United States ($33M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2024, together comprising 33% of global exports.

Nigeria, with a CAGR of +104.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average cocoa powder with sugar export price stood at $3,048 per ton in 2024, rising by 5.4% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2024, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.0%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 an increase of 44% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was China ($4,944 per ton), while South Korea ($1,178 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Singapore (+4.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform