Global Cylindrical Roller Bearings Market: Volume to Reach 305K Tons and Value Expected to Hit $10.6B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Cylindrical Roller Bearings - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The market for cylindrical roller bearings is forecasted to reach 305K tons in volume and $10.6B in value by the end of 2030. This growth is attributed to the rising demand for these bearings across various industries worldwide.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for cylindrical roller bearings worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 305K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.7% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $10.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Cylindrical Roller Bearings

In 2023, consumption of cylindrical roller bearings decreased by -0.5% to 291K tons, falling for the second year in a row after five years of growth. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a temperate increase from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption decreased by -6.9% against 2021 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 313K tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global cylindrical roller bearing market value expanded significantly to $9.5B in 2023, rising by 8.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, saw a strong increase. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (41K tons), the United States (39K tons) and India (25K tons), together comprising 36% of global consumption. Russia, Germany, Japan, Brazil, Mexico, Thailand, Turkey, Canada, Italy and Saudi Arabia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 38%.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Thailand (with a CAGR of +27.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($3.6B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($1.1B). It was followed by India.

In the United States, the cylindrical roller bearing market expanded at an average annual rate of +12.0% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: China (-1.5% per year) and India (+3.2% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of cylindrical roller bearing per capita consumption in 2023 were Germany (230 kg per 1000 persons), Canada (176 kg per 1000 persons) and Saudi Arabia (161 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Thailand (with a CAGR of +26.6%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Cylindrical Roller Bearings

In 2023, approx. 279K tons of cylindrical roller bearings were produced worldwide; increasing by 4.8% against the year before. In general, the total production indicated pronounced growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production decreased by -1.9% against 2021 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 32%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 285K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cylindrical roller bearing production rose remarkably to $8.9B in 2023 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a resilient expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 27%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2023 were China (48K tons), the United States (32K tons) and Germany (29K tons), together comprising 39% of global production. Japan, India, Kazakhstan, Romania, Brazil, Taiwan (Chinese), Slovakia, Canada and Mexico lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 45%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Taiwan (Chinese) (with a CAGR of +24.5%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Cylindrical Roller Bearings

After two years of growth, purchases abroad of cylindrical roller bearings decreased by -1.9% to 179K tons in 2023. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 13%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 182K tons in 2022, and then shrank modestly in the following year.

In value terms, cylindrical roller bearing imports totaled $4B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2023 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

The purchases of the three major importers of cylindrical roller bearings, namely China, Germany and Russia, represented more than third of total import. The United States (8.9K tons) ranks next in terms of the total imports with a 5% share, followed by Thailand (4.7%). Italy (6.7K tons), Mexico (5.7K tons), Spain (5.2K tons), South Korea (4.8K tons), Turkey (3.7K tons), Belgium (3.7K tons), India (3.2K tons) and the Czech Republic (3.1K tons) took a minor share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Thailand (with a CAGR of +27.4%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($713M), Germany ($503M) and the United States ($414M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together accounting for 41% of global imports. Italy, Mexico, Russia, South Korea, India, Spain, Belgium, Turkey, the Czech Republic and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 23%.

Spain, with a CAGR of +12.2%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average cylindrical roller bearing import price stood at $22,098 per ton in 2023, picking up by 9.6% against the previous year. In general, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Global import price peaked at $22,883 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2023, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($46,718 per ton), while Thailand ($4,422 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+3.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Cylindrical Roller Bearings

In 2023, global cylindrical roller bearing exports expanded significantly to 167K tons, with an increase of 7% on the previous year. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 169K tons. From 2020 to 2023, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cylindrical roller bearing exports reached $3.8B in 2023. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2023 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

In 2023, China (33K tons) and Germany (32K tons) were the largest exporters of cylindrical roller bearingsin the world, together finishing at approx. 39% of total exports. Kazakhstan (19K tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by Japan (16K tons), Romania (13K tons) and Slovakia (7.9K tons). All these countries together took near 34% share of total exports. Taiwan (Chinese) (5.7K tons), the Netherlands (3.1K tons), France (3.1K tons), Hong Kong SAR (3K tons), Poland (3K tons), Canada (2.9K tons) and Italy (2.6K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +22.2%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($1.1B) remains the largest cylindrical roller bearing supplier worldwide, comprising 28% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Japan ($338M), with an 8.9% share of global exports. It was followed by China, with an 8.6% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Germany stood at +1.3%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Japan (-0.2% per year) and China (+8.2% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average cylindrical roller bearing export price amounted to $22,664 per ton, rising by 4.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average export price increased by 6.7%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $23,863 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2023, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was France ($63,036 per ton), while Kazakhstan ($4,192 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+4.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform