The Growth of the EU Decaffeinated Coffee Market Lost its Momentum

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'EU - Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

The revenue of the decaffeinated coffee market in the European Union amounted to $1.6B in 2018, going down by -2.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, decaffeinated coffee consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Consumption By Country in the EU

The countries with the highest volumes of decaffeinated coffee consumption in 2018 were the UK (59K tons), Germany (49K tons) and France (45K tons), with a combined 47% share of total consumption. These countries were followed by Spain, Poland, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, Austria, Portugal, Italy and Finland, which together accounted for a further 42%.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of decaffeinated coffee consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Spain, while decaffeinated coffee consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the UK ($449M) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by France ($174M). It was followed by Germany.

The countries with the highest levels of decaffeinated coffee per capita consumption in 2018 were Belgium (1,201 kg per 1000 persons), Austria (1,159 kg per 1000 persons) and Sweden (1,133 kg per 1000 persons).

Production in the EU

In 2018, the amount of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) produced in the European Union totaled 433K tons, flattening at the previous year. Overall, decaffeinated coffee production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 5.5% against the previous year.

Production By Country in the EU

The country with the largest volume of decaffeinated coffee production was Germany (208K tons), accounting for 48% of total volume. Moreover, decaffeinated coffee production in Germany exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the UK (55K tons), fourfold. France (42K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 9.7% share.

In Germany, decaffeinated coffee production remained relatively stable over the period from 2007-2018. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the UK (+1.0% per year) and France (-0.4% per year).

Exports in the EU

In 2018, the exports of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) in the European Union stood at 180K tons, going up by 3.1% against the previous year. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed over the period under review. Over the period under review, decaffeinated coffee exports reached their peak figure at 187K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2018, exports remained at a lower figure. In value terms, decaffeinated coffee exports totaled $596M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Exports by Country

Germany dominates decaffeinated coffee exports structure, resulting at 161K tons, which was approx. 89% of total exports in 2018. It was distantly followed by Spain (15K tons), committing an 8.2% share of total exports.

Exports from Germany increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, Spain emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the European Union, with a CAGR of +3.4% from 2007-2018. While the share of Germany (+13 p.p.) and Spain (+2.5 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Germany ($503M) remains the largest decaffeinated coffee supplier in the European Union, comprising 84% of total decaffeinated coffee exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Spain ($74M), with a 12% share of total exports.

Export Prices by Country

In 2018, the decaffeinated coffee export price in the European Union amounted to $3,303 per ton. Overall, the decaffeinated coffee export price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2018, the country with the highest price was Spain ($4,989 per ton), while Germany amounted to $3,134 per ton.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain.

Imports in the EU

The imports stood at 69K tons in 2018, rising by 12% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded over the period under review. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 13% year-to-year. The volume of imports peaked in 2018 and are likely to see steady growth in the immediate term. In value terms, decaffeinated coffee imports totaled $185M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Imports by Country

Spain represented the major importer of decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) imported in the European Union, with the volume of imports finishing at 31K tons, which was near 45% of total imports in 2018. The Netherlands (11,908 tons) took a 17% share (based on tons) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Italy (9.7%), the UK (6.8%) and Belgium (6.7%). The following importers - France (2,912 tons) and Portugal (2,540 tons) - each accounted for a 7.9% share of total imports.

Spain was also the fastest-growing in terms of the decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) imports, with a CAGR of +12.1% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, the UK (+3.2%), Portugal (+2.0%) and France (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. The Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Italy (-1.4%) and Belgium (-4.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period.

In value terms, the largest decaffeinated coffee importing markets in the European Union were Spain ($59M), the Netherlands ($36M) and Italy ($22M), with a combined 63% share of total imports.

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the decaffeinated coffee import price in the European Union amounted to $2,698 per ton, waning by -11.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the decaffeinated coffee import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The import prices for decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) attained their peak level of $4,621 per ton in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, the growth in terms of the import prices for decaffeinated coffee (not roasted) remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2018, the country with the highest price was France ($4,154 per ton), while Spain ($1,926 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform