Global Densified Wood Market to Witness Steady Growth with a CAGR of +2.7% from 2024-2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Densified Wood - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The densified wood market is forecasted to experience a slight increase in performance with a CAGR of +0.7% in volume and +2.7% in value from 2024 to 2030. This growth is attributed to the rising demand for densified wood globally.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for densified wood worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next six-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 4M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.7% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $6.9B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Densified Wood

In 2024, the amount of densified wood consumed worldwide contracted slightly to 3.8M tons, standing approx. at the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption showed a slight setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 with an increase of 2.7%. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the maximum volume at 4.7M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global densified wood market value dropped to $5.9B in 2024, stabilizing at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption saw a perceptible decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the market value increased by 7.1%. Global consumption peaked at $7.5B in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of densified wood consumption was China (969K tons), comprising approx. 25% of total volume. Moreover, densified wood consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (435K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Japan (167K tons), with a 4.4% share.

In China, densified wood consumption plunged by an average annual rate of -3.1% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+0.2% per year) and Japan (-4.3% per year).

In value terms, the largest densified wood markets worldwide were Japan ($1.6B), China ($1.1B) and the United States ($527M), with a combined 55% share of the global market. The UK, Indonesia, Russia, Nigeria, Brazil, Mexico and Latvia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 9.4%.

Among the main consuming countries, Latvia, with a CAGR of +15.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, the highest levels of densified wood per capita consumption was registered in Latvia (44 kg per person), followed by Japan (1.4 kg per person), the UK (1.3 kg per person) and the United States (1.3 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of densified wood was estimated at 0.5 kg per person.

In Latvia, densified wood per capita consumption increased at an average annual rate of +15.1% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (-4.0% per year) and the UK (-3.9% per year).

Production

World Production of Densified Wood

Global densified wood production contracted to 3.7M tons in 2024, stabilizing at 2023. Overall, production showed a mild setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 when the production volume increased by 3.4%. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume at 4.6M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, densified wood production totaled $5.8B in 2024 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production recorded a pronounced descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 8.5%. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $7.5B in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

China (985K tons) remains the largest densified wood producing country worldwide, accounting for 27% of total volume. Moreover, densified wood production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (415K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by Japan (167K tons), with a 4.5% share.

In China, densified wood production plunged by an average annual rate of -3.0% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (-0.3% per year) and Japan (-4.3% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Densified Wood

In 2024, overseas purchases of densified wood decreased by -2.9% to 504K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after six years of growth. In general, total imports indicated resilient growth from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.8% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -19.5% against 2022 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 23% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 626K tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, densified wood imports fell to $573M in 2024. Overall, imports, however, showed a buoyant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 30% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $610M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

The purchases of the seven major importers of densified wood, namely Malaysia, Iran, Burkina Faso, Kazakhstan, the Netherlands, Germany and the United States, represented more than half of total import. The following importers - France (17K tons), Denmark (16K tons) and Spain (15K tons) - each recorded a 9.5% share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Kazakhstan (with a CAGR of +58.6%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest densified wood importing markets worldwide were Iran ($85M), Malaysia ($53M) and the United States ($34M), together accounting for 30% of global imports. Germany, Kazakhstan, the Netherlands, France, Burkina Faso, Spain and Denmark lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 21%.

Kazakhstan, with a CAGR of +46.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average densified wood import price stood at $1,137 per ton in 2024, declining by -2.4% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 23%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure at $1,165 per ton in 2023, and then shrank in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Iran ($1,746 per ton), while Burkina Faso ($248 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Burkina Faso (+15.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Densified Wood

In 2024, shipments abroad of densified wood decreased by -8.3% to 355K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. Over the period under review, total exports indicated resilient growth from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.4% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, exports decreased by -25.3% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 32%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at 475K tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, densified wood exports contracted to $425M in 2024. Overall, exports, however, enjoyed perceptible growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 46%. The global exports peaked at $571M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports By Country

In 2024, the Netherlands (63K tons), distantly followed by Brazil (34K tons), Ghana (31K tons), China (19K tons) and Malaysia (16K tons) represented the key exporters of densified wood, together mixing up 46% of total exports. Germany (14K tons), Belarus (13K tons), Vietnam (12K tons), Russia (12K tons) and Estonia (11K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Brazil (with a CAGR of +64.6%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Netherlands ($45M), Germany ($43M) and Malaysia ($34M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2024, with a combined 29% share of global exports. Brazil, China, Estonia, Vietnam, Belarus, Russia and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 19%.

Among the main exporting countries, Brazil, with a CAGR of +54.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average densified wood export price stood at $1,199 per ton in 2024, falling by -5.5% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 21% against the previous year. The global export price peaked at $1,320 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($2,985 per ton), while Ghana ($171 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malaysia (+21.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform