Global 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide) Market to Exhibit Accelerated Growth with a CAGR of +4.5% from 2024 to 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The article discusses the expected rise in consumption of 1-cyanoguanidine, with a forecasted CAGR of +4.5% in volume and +8.1% in value from 2024 to 2030. By the end of 2030, the market volume is expected to reach 117K tons and the market value is projected to hit $374M.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next six-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +4.5% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 117K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +8.1% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $374M (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide)

In 2024, consumption of 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide) decreased by -8.3% to 90K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, consumption, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 121K tons. From 2017 to 2024, the growth of the global consumption remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The global dicyandiamide market revenue declined to $234M in 2024, falling by -9.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Global consumption peaked at $310M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of dicyandiamide consumption was India (35K tons), accounting for 39% of total volume. Moreover, dicyandiamide consumption in India exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Germany (10K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was held by the United States (10K tons), with an 11% share.

In India, dicyandiamide consumption increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: Germany (+4.9% per year) and the United States (+2.0% per year).

In value terms, the largest dicyandiamide markets worldwide were India ($72M), Germany ($38M) and the United States ($26M), with a combined 58% share of the global market.

Germany, with a CAGR of +5.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2024, the highest levels of dicyandiamide per capita consumption was registered in Norway (501 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Germany (127 kg per 1000 persons), Spain (72 kg per 1000 persons) and France (60 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of dicyandiamide was estimated at 11 kg per 1000 persons.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of the dicyandiamide per capita consumption in Norway amounted to +3.0%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Germany (+4.7% per year) and Spain (+4.4% per year).

Production

World Production of 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide)

In 2024, global production of 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide) declined modestly to 94K tons, flattening at 2023. Over the period under review, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when the production volume increased by 1.2% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 95K tons in 2023, and then fell modestly in the following year.

In value terms, dicyandiamide production rose to $276M in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 34% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $286M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

China (75K tons) remains the largest dicyandiamide producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 79% of total volume. Moreover, dicyandiamide production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Germany (18K tons), fourfold.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China was relatively modest.

Imports

World Imports of 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide)

Global dicyandiamide imports fell to 78K tons in 2024, shrinking by -12.3% on the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 15% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 90K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, dicyandiamide imports declined remarkably to $197M in 2024. In general, imports, however, recorded a measured expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 63% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $309M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports By Country

In 2024, India (35K tons) represented the major importer of 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide), generating 46% of total imports. It was distantly followed by the United States (10K tons) and France (4.1K tons), together achieving a 19% share of total imports. Spain (3.4K tons), Indonesia (3K tons), Norway (2.8K tons), Brazil (2.6K tons), Japan (2.2K tons), Italy (1.8K tons) and Turkey (1.2K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into India increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, Indonesia (+22.3%), Turkey (+6.5%), Spain (+4.2%), Norway (+3.9%), Brazil (+1.6%) and the United States (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Indonesia emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +22.3% from 2013-2024. By contrast, Italy (-1.0%), France (-1.5%) and Japan (-3.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of India (+5.9 p.p.) and Indonesia (+3.3 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2013-2024, the share of the United States (-1.8 p.p.), France (-3 p.p.) and Japan (-3 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, India ($71M) constitutes the largest market for imported 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide) worldwide, comprising 36% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($29M), with a 15% share of global imports. It was followed by France, with a 9.5% share.

In India, dicyandiamide imports increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+3.8% per year) and France (+2.8% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average dicyandiamide import price stood at $2,530 per ton in 2024, which is down by -3.4% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 45%. Global import price peaked at $3,647 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($4,557 per ton), while Indonesia ($875 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+4.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of 1-Cyanoguanidine (Dicyandiamide)

Global dicyandiamide exports dropped modestly to 82K tons in 2024, shrinking by -4.1% compared with the previous year's figure. Overall, total exports indicated a measured expansion from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, exports increased by +4.9% against 2022 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 83% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure at 90K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, dicyandiamide exports declined to $187M in 2024. In general, exports, however, saw tangible growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 59%. The global exports peaked at $289M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, reaching 72K tons, which was approx. 88% of total exports in 2024. It was distantly followed by Germany (8K tons), achieving a 9.8% share of total exports.

China was also the fastest-growing in terms of the 1-cyanoguanidine (dicyandiamide) exports, with a CAGR of +4.1% from 2013 to 2024. Germany (-3.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of China (+12 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2013-2024, the share of Germany (-10 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, China ($134M) remains the largest dicyandiamide supplier worldwide, comprising 71% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Germany ($43M), with a 23% share of global exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China amounted to +3.5%.

Export Prices By Country

In 2024, the average dicyandiamide export price amounted to $2,284 per ton, waning by -9.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 an increase of 66% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum at $3,697 per ton in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($5,380 per ton), while China amounted to $1,855 per ton.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+3.8%).

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform