Global Oxirane Market to Reach 29M Tons and $86.3B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global market for oxirane (ethylene oxide) is on the rise, with an anticipated CAGR of +4.9% in volume and +5.9% in value from 2023 to 2030. This growth is driven by the increasing demand for oxirane across various industries, leading to a positive market performance and expansion in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for oxirane (ethylene oxide) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +4.9% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 29M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.9% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $86.3B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide)

In 2023, the amount of oxirane (ethylene oxide) consumed worldwide amounted to 21M tons, surging by 2.1% on 2022. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 8.3% against the previous year. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 21M tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global consumption remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The global ethylene oxide market value contracted modestly to $57.9B in 2023, dropping by -2.4% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at $59.4B in 2022, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of ethylene oxide consumption was China (6.2M tons), accounting for 30% of total volume. Moreover, ethylene oxide consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (2.9M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Saudi Arabia (1.8M tons), with an 8.6% share.

In China, ethylene oxide consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +9.5% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+1.4% per year) and Saudi Arabia (-0.0% per year).

In value terms, the largest ethylene oxide markets worldwide were China ($17.5B), the United States ($16.8B) and Saudi Arabia ($5.8B), together comprising 69% of the global market.

China, with a CAGR of +9.6%, saw the highest growth rate of market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2023, the highest levels of ethylene oxide per capita consumption was registered in Kuwait (172 kg per person), followed by Belgium (69 kg per person), Saudi Arabia (49 kg per person) and Taiwan (Chinese) (35 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of ethylene oxide was estimated at 2.6 kg per person.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of the ethylene oxide per capita consumption in Kuwait amounted to -1.8%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Belgium (-0.8% per year) and Saudi Arabia (-1.9% per year).

Production

World Production of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide)

Global ethylene oxide production expanded modestly to 21M tons in 2023, growing by 2.1% against the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 8.2% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak volume of 21M tons. From 2022 to 2023, global production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, ethylene oxide production declined modestly to $87.2B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $95.1B in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2023, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of ethylene oxide production was China (6.2M tons), comprising approx. 30% of total volume. Moreover, ethylene oxide production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (2.9M tons), twofold. Saudi Arabia (1.8M tons) ranked third in terms of total production with an 8.6% share.

In China, ethylene oxide production increased at an average annual rate of +9.5% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (+1.3% per year) and Saudi Arabia (-0.0% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide)

In 2023, supplies from abroad of oxirane (ethylene oxide) decreased by -7.5% to 334K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure at 405K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, ethylene oxide imports reduced to $494M in 2023. Overall, imports recorded a pronounced contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 35% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $621M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of ethylene oxide imports in 2023 were Italy (68K tons), Germany (55K tons), the Netherlands (50K tons) and Belgium (49K tons), together reaching 66% of total import. France (31K tons) took a 9.4% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Poland (7.4%). Slovakia (13K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +18.1%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Italy ($103M), the Netherlands ($74M) and Germany ($73M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together comprising 51% of global imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, the Netherlands, with a CAGR of +15.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the imports figures.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average ethylene oxide import price amounted to $1,482 per ton, waning by -4.3% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a slight shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 23%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure at $1,714 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in Italy ($1,521 per ton) and the Netherlands ($1,472 per ton), while France ($1,264 per ton) and Belgium ($1,298 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (-1.1%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Exports

World Exports of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide)

In 2023, overseas shipments of oxirane (ethylene oxide) decreased by -7.3% to 340K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 9.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the maximum at 368K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, ethylene oxide exports fell to $492M in 2023. Over the period under review, exports recorded a slight descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at $576M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports By Country

In 2023, Germany (165K tons) represented the main exporter of oxirane (ethylene oxide), achieving 48% of total exports. It was distantly followed by the Netherlands (63K tons), Belgium (61K tons) and France (27K tons), together generating a 44% share of total exports. Russia (14K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Germany experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of oxirane (ethylene oxide). At the same time, France (+6.0%), Belgium (+3.9%) and Russia (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, France emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +6.0% from 2013-2023. By contrast, the Netherlands (-3.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Belgium (+5.8 p.p.), France (+3.5 p.p.) and Germany (+2.3 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while the Netherlands saw its share reduced by -8.7% from 2013 to 2023, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Germany ($228M) remains the largest ethylene oxide supplier worldwide, comprising 46% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Belgium ($92M), with a 19% share of global exports. It was followed by the Netherlands, with a 17% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of value in Germany stood at -1.1%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Belgium (+2.4% per year) and the Netherlands (-5.8% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average ethylene oxide export price stood at $1,445 per ton in 2023, waning by -5.4% against the previous year. In general, the export price continues to indicate a mild decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 21% against the previous year. The global export price peaked at $1,679 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Belgium ($1,511 per ton), while Russia ($961 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Belgium (-1.4%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform