Global Fresh Pork Carcase Market's Projected Growth to 47 Million Tons and $135.6 Billion by 2035

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Fresh Or Chilled Carcases Of Pig Meat - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the global fresh pork carcase market. It reports that in 2025, the market contracted significantly to 36 million tons in volume and $101.7 billion in value, following a peak in 2023. However, a recovery is forecast, with a projected CAGR of +2.8% in volume and +2.9% in value from 2025 to 2035, reaching 47 million tons and $135.6 billion by 2035. The United States, India, and Russia are the largest consuming and producing nations. International trade declined in 2025, with Germany, Italy, and Poland as leading importers and Belgium, Germany, and the Netherlands as top exporters. Import and export prices have risen notably since 2021.

Key Findings

• Market forecast to recover, growing to 47M tons and $135.6B by 2035 after a significant contraction in 2025
• United States, India, and Russia are the top three consuming and producing countries, accounting for 34% of global volume
• Spain, Germany, and Russia have the highest per capita consumption of fresh pork carcase
• International trade declined in 2025, with Germany as the leading importer and Belgium as the leading exporter by volume
• Global average import and export prices have increased substantially, rising over 50% since 2021

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for fresh pork carcase worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2025 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 47M tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.9% for the period from 2025 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $135.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

Consumption

World's Consumption of Fresh Or Chilled Carcases Of Pig Meat

In 2025, consumption of fresh or chilled carcases of pig meat decreased by -31% to 36M tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, consumption continues to indicate a mild curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 5.7%. Global consumption peaked at 52M tons in 2023; however, from 2024 to 2025, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global fresh pork carcase market revenue contracted significantly to $101.7B in 2025, with a decrease of -27.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption saw a slight setback. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $147.9B. From 2024 to 2025, the growth of the global market remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2025 were the United States (4.8M tons), India (4.2M tons) and Russia (3.2M tons), with a combined 34% share of global consumption.

From 2013 to 2025, the biggest increases were recorded for Russia (with a CAGR of +5.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest fresh pork carcase markets worldwide were India ($14.2B), the United States ($10.8B) and Russia ($8.3B), together comprising 33% of the global market.

India, with a CAGR of +5.3%, saw the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of fresh pork carcase per capita consumption in 2025 were Spain (52 kg per person), Germany (29 kg per person) and Russia (23 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2025, the biggest increases were recorded for Russia (with a CAGR of +5.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World's Production of Fresh Or Chilled Carcases Of Pig Meat

In 2025, production of fresh or chilled carcases of pig meat decreased by -31% to 36M tons, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Over the period under review, production showed a mild decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 5.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 52M tons in 2023; however, from 2024 to 2025, production failed to regain momentum. The general negative trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a slight decrease of the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

In value terms, fresh pork carcase production reduced rapidly to $108B in 2025 estimated in export price. In general, production continues to indicate a mild downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 18% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $148B in 2024, and then contracted markedly in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2025 were the United States (4.8M tons), India (4.2M tons) and Russia (3.2M tons), with a combined 34% share of global production.

From 2013 to 2025, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of +5.8%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World's Imports of Fresh Or Chilled Carcases Of Pig Meat

Global fresh pork carcase imports contracted to 1M tons in 2025, with a decrease of -11.1% compared with the year before. Overall, imports recorded a mild descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 4.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 1.3M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2025, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, fresh pork carcase imports shrank modestly to $2.9B in 2025. Over the period under review, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 with an increase of 29% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $3.1B. From 2024 to 2025, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports By Country

In 2025, Germany (274K tons), distantly followed by Italy (142K tons), Poland (108K tons), Romania (61K tons), Greece (53K tons) and Austria (47K tons) were the main importers of fresh or chilled carcases of pig meat, together generating 68% of total imports. The following importers - the Netherlands (43K tons), Slovakia (34K tons), the Czech Republic (26K tons) and France (23K tons) - together made up 13% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2025, the biggest increases were recorded for France (with a CAGR of +17.9%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest fresh pork carcase importing markets worldwide were Germany ($672M), Italy ($465M) and Poland ($317M), with a combined 50% share of global imports. Romania, Greece, Austria, the Netherlands, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and France lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

France, with a CAGR of +11.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average fresh pork carcase import price stood at $2,896 per ton in 2025, growing by 7.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated slight growth from 2013 to 2025: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the last twelve-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2025 figures, fresh pork carcase import price increased by +57.0% against 2021 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 when the average import price increased by 40% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2025 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2025, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Czech Republic ($3,631 per ton), while France ($1,908 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2025, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Slovakia (+3.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World's Exports of Fresh Or Chilled Carcases Of Pig Meat

In 2025, global fresh pork carcase exports contracted to 943K tons, falling by -7.4% on 2024. Overall, exports recorded a mild downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 4.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum at 1.2M tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2025, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, fresh pork carcase exports shrank modestly to $2.7B in 2025. Over the period under review, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2023 when exports increased by 30%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $2.9B. From 2024 to 2025, the growth of the global exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports By Country

In 2025, Belgium (274K tons), distantly followed by Germany (178K tons), the Netherlands (94K tons), Denmark (82K tons), France (69K tons) and Hungary (44K tons) represented the major exporters of fresh or chilled carcases of pig meat, together making up 79% of total exports. Poland (37K tons), the UK (32K tons), Spain (27K tons) and Australia (20K tons) took a minor share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2025, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Australia (with a CAGR of +11.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belgium ($784M), Germany ($534M) and the Netherlands ($266M) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2025, together comprising 58% of global exports. France, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Australia, Spain and the UK lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

Among the main exporting countries, Hungary, with a CAGR of +12.4%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2025, the average fresh pork carcase export price amounted to $2,873 per ton, surging by 6.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a modest increase from 2013 to 2025: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last twelve years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2025 figures, fresh pork carcase export price increased by +52.8% against 2021 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 when the average export price increased by 35%. The global export price peaked in 2025 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Australia ($4,577 per ton), while the UK ($1,969 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2025, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+2.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform