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Germany - Bread and Bakery Product - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Report Update: Feb 1, 2025

Germany - Bread and Bakery Product - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Nov 4, 2024

In 2023, Germany's Bread and Bakery Exports Surge by 21%, Hitting a Historic High of $5.9 Billion.

Germany Bread and Bakery Exports

After ten years of growth, shipments abroad of bread and bakery decreased by -3.6% to 1.6M tons in 2023. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by 6.1%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at 1.7M tons in 2022, and then reduced in the following year.

In value terms, bread and bakery exports skyrocketed to $5.9B (IndexBox estimates) in 2023. Over the period under review, total exports indicated moderate growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +70.8% against 2015 indices. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.Germany Bread and Bakery Exports By Country (Million USD)

COUNTRYExport Value of Bread and Bakery in Germany (million USD)
20132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
France524520456459467481461505561571697
Austria417435386396435479487523560562683
Netherlands410421371403402451438454443491607
United Kingdom469466416419427454435464420436587
Italy319313266296304308280289324345413
Poland203203171150167190199231256281340
Belgium179188160152163170161162225239300
Spain177194175181195201190182193196227
Others1,3061,2851,0741,1531,2471,4281,4311,5031,6611,7682,083
Total4,0044,0233,4753,6093,8074,1604,0814,3134,6434,8885,937

Exports by Country

France (209K tons), Austria (177K tons) and the Netherlands (172K tons) were the main destinations of bread and bakery exports from Germany, with a combined 35% share of total exports. the UK, Italy, Poland, Belgium and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Belgium (with a CAGR of +4.5%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, France ($697M), Austria ($683M) and the Netherlands ($607M) appeared to be the largest markets for bread and bakery exported from Germany worldwide, with a combined 33% share of total exports. the UK, Italy, Poland, Belgium and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

Belgium, with a CAGR of +5.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports by Type

Fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery (1.2M tons) was the largest type of bread and bakery exported from Germany, with a 75% share of total exports. Moreover, fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exceeded the volume of the second product type, gingerbread, sweet biscuits and waffles (353K tons), threefold.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the volume of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exports stood at +2.8%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: gingerbread, sweet biscuits and waffles (+1.8% per year) and crispbread, rusks and toasted bread (+3.4% per year).

In value terms, fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery ($3.9B) remains the largest type of bread and bakery exported from Germany, comprising 66% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by gingerbread, sweet biscuits and waffles ($1.8B), with a 31% share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of the value of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exports amounted to +3.9%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: gingerbread, sweet biscuits and waffles (+4.1% per year) and crispbread, rusks and toasted bread (+5.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2023, the bread and bakery price stood at $3,690 per ton (FOB, Germany), surging by 26% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($4,425 per ton), while the average price for exports to Denmark ($2,841 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to the UK (+2.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the bread and bakery market in Germany. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • Prodcom 10721130 - Crispbread
  • Prodcom 10721230 - Gingerbread and the like
  • Prodcom 10721255 - Sweet biscuits (including sandwich biscuits, excluding those completely or partially coated or covered with chocolate or other preparations containing cocoa)
  • Prodcom 10721259 - Waffles and wafers (including salted) (excluding those completely or partially coated or covered with chocolate or other preparations containing cocoa)
  • Prodcom 10721150 - Rusks, toasted bread and similar toasted products
  • Prodcom 10711100 - Fresh bread containing by weight in the dry matter state . 5 % of sugars and . 5 % of fat (excluding with added honey, e ggs, cheese or fruit)
  • Prodcom 10711200 - Cake and pastry products, other bakers
  • Prodcom 10721910 - Matzos
  • Prodcom 10721920 - Communion wafers, empty cachets of a kind suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice paper and similar products
  • Prodcom 10721940 - Biscuits (excluding those completely or partially coated or covered with chocolate or other preparations containing cocoa, sweet biscuits, waffles and wafers)
  • Prodcom 10721950 - Savoury or salted extruded or expanded products
  • Prodcom 10721990 - Bakersu2019 wares, no added sweetening (including crepes, pancakes, quiche, pizza; excluding sandwiches, crispbread, waffles, wafers, rusks, toasted, savoury or salted extruded/expanded products)

Country coverage:

  • Germany

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Trade (exports and imports) in Germany
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE
    3. TRADE BALANCE
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE

  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2024
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2024
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2024
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    3. Market Value, 2012–2024
    4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2024
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024

  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    2. Market Value, 2012–2024
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2024
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2024
    5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2024
    6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2024
    7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2024
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    14. Production Volume And Growth
    15. Exports And Growth
    16. Export Prices And Growth
    17. Market Size And Growth
    18. Per Capita Consumption
    19. Imports And Growth
    20. Import Prices
    21. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    22. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    24. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    25. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    26. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    27. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    28. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
    30. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
    31. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    32. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    33. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    34. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024

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