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World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Report Update: Nov 1, 2024

World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Apr 9, 2021

Global Coffee Market Enjoys Ongoing Growth Despite Pandemic

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

Coffee yield figures remained robust in 2020 and coffee bean exports increased, despite the disruption to supply chains caused by the Coronavirus restrictions. Home coffee consumption surged, thereby helping to offset the slump in sales following the closure of the HoReCa segment. Average coffee prices remained growing gradually through to Q1 2021.

Key Trends and Insights

Favourable weather conditions in 2020 enabled coffee bean crop figures to remain high. IndexBox estimates based on the USDA and International Coffee Organization (ICO) data indicate that global coffee production increased by +3.3% over the last year, reaching 10.5 million tons. According to ICO, Robusta coffee bean production fell by -2.8% year-on-year, while Arabica coffee bean output increased by +13.6%, amounting to 6.3 million tons and 4.2 million tons, respectively. Production slowed in Africa (-0.9% y-o-y) and Mexico and Central America (-0.1%), but South America indicated significant growth (+13.9% y-o-y).

Global coffee exports increased by 2.4% against the previous year, reaching 7.6 billion tons (IndexBox estimates). Brazil, recording a 2.5 million ton shipments volume, continues to lead in terms of exports (IndexBox estimates).

Coffee prices, monitored by the International Coffee Organisation (ICO) Monthly Price Index, averaged 120.36 US cents/lb in March 2021, against 119.35 US cents/lb in February of this year. In 2020, average coffee prices fluctuated between 99.05-116.25 US cents/lb. Over the pandemic, coffee prices grew gradually, and this trend persisted in Q1 2021.

In the medium term to 2030, market growth is forecast to continue, bringing the market volume to approx. 12.4 million tons, due to rising population and an increase in disposable income (IndexBox estimates). Should the pandemic wane in 2021, and HoReCa and tourism restrictions be removed, it would promote market growth.

Brazil to Dominate the Global Green Coffee Production and Export Market

Global green coffee production amounted to 10M tons in 2019, reducing by -4% in 2018. In general, production, however, saw a slight expansion. In value terms, green coffee production declined to $25.6B in 2019 estimated at export prices.

The countries with the highest volumes of green coffee production in 2019 were Brazil (3M tons), Vietnam (1.7M tons) and Colombia (885K tons), together accounting for 55% of global production (IndexBox estimates).

From 2012 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of green coffee production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Colombia, while green coffee production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2019, Brazil (2.2M tons), distantly followed by Vietnam (1,388K tons), Colombia (681K tons) and Honduras (360K tons) were the major exporters of coffee (green), together committing 63% of total exports. The following exporters - Indonesia (318K tons), Ethiopia (237K tons), India (233K tons), Belgium (231K tons), Peru (222K tons), Germany (213K tons), Uganda (203K tons), Guatemala (191K tons) and Nicaragua (159K tons) - together made up 27% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Colombia, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($4.6B), Colombia ($2.5B) and Vietnam ($2.1B) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2019, with a combined 51% share of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, Colombia saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced a decline in the exports figures.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global green coffee market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 656 - Coffee green

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Company coverage:

Nestle Ag, Starbucks Corporation, Tata Global Beverages Limited, Cott Corporation, Bombay Burmah Trading Corp. Ltd., CCL Products (India) Ltd., TATA Coffee Ltd., Andrew Yule & Company Ltd., The Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf, Tim Hortons, Biggby Coffee, Dutch Bros, Dunkin' Donuts, Peet's Coffee, Caribou Coffee, La Colombe, Blue Bottle Coffee Company, Panera Bread Jobs, Costa Jobs, Peet-s Coffee Jobs, Dutch Bros Coffee Jobs

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
    3. HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY

  8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

    The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

    The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    • United States
    • China
    • Japan
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Brazil
    • Italy
    • Russian Federation
    • India
    • Canada
    • Australia
    • Republic of Korea
    • Spain
    • Mexico
    • Indonesia
    • Netherlands
    • Turkey
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Switzerland
    • Sweden
    • Nigeria
    • Poland
    • Belgium
    • Argentina
    • Norway
    • Austria
    • Thailand
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • South Africa
    • Malaysia
    • Israel
    • Singapore
    • Egypt
    • Philippines
    • Finland
    • Chile
    • Ireland
    • Pakistan
    • Greece
    • Portugal
    • Kazakhstan
    • Algeria
    • Czech Republic
    • Qatar
    • Peru
    • Romania
    • Vietnam

  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    7. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    8. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
    11. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    12. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    13. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023

  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Consumption, By Country, 2023
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    10. Production Volume And Growth
    11. Yield And Growth
    12. Exports And Growth
    13. Export Prices And Growth
    14. Market Size And Growth
    15. Per Capita Consumption
    16. Imports And Growth
    17. Import Prices
    18. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    19. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    20. Area Harvested, 2012–2023
    21. Yield, 2012–2023
    22. Production, By Country, 2023
    23. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    24. Harvested Area, By Country, 2023
    25. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    26. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    27. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    29. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    30. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    32. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    34. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    35. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    36. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    37. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    38. Export Prices, 2012–2023

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