World - Industrial Roundwood - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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World - Industrial Roundwood - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Nov 16, 2021

COP26 Deforestation Pledge Will not Cut Global Lumber Supply

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Industrial Roundwood - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

Over 120 countries signed the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration on Forests and Land Use, a voluntary commitment to halt deforestation. The world's top lumber suppliers, such as Canada, Russia and Sweden, are among the signatories, as well as those countries with the highest rates of tropical forest loss - Brazil and Indonesia. Based on experience from a similar 2014 agreement signed in New York, the obligations will not force suppliers to significantly slow their pace of deforestation but rather instigate an increase in planting new trees to replace those cut down.

Key Trends and Insights

In November 2021, more than 100 countries signed the Glasgow Leaders' Declaration on Forests and Land Use, obligating them to halve deforestation by 2020 and cease it altogether by 2030. The endorsers account for about 90% of global tree cover, and 28 out of these countries are obligated to stop clearing tropical forests to produce palm oil, cacao and soy. The COP26 obligations permit the continuation of clearing forests as long as new trees are planted to replace those cut down.

The declaration is accompanied by $19.2B in financing and is legally non-binding because it was approved outside the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. The world's largest lumber suppliers, such as Canada, Russia and Sweden, are among the signatories, as well as those countries where tropical forests are located, namely Brazil and Indonesia. Malaysia, Laos, Cambodia, Myanmar and Paraguay, which are among the countries with the highest deforestation rates, did not sign the Glasgow Declaration.

According to Global Forest Watch, in 2020, the global landmass covered by forests decreased by 25.8M Hectares. The most significant decrease in forest mass was recorded in Russia (5.44M ha), Brazil (3.29M ha), Canada (1.20M ha), the U.S. (1.97M ha) and Indonesia (962K ha). As a consequence of Covid restrictions, global trade in industrial round wood decreased from $17B to $15B, dropping in real terms from 233 to 205 cubic meters.

Theoretically, the Glasgow Declaration could have a severe effect on the global lumber market. If it were legally binding, the critical lumber supplying countries would decrease logging activities, which would lead to a deficit in lumber around the world. However, the resulting effects of the preceding 2014 New York declaration prove that such agreements do not slow down the pace of deforestation. It's more likely that governments will increase efforts to plant new trees to comply with the agreement and only insignificantly decrease logging. The high demand for lumber in the construction industry will decrease prospects of reining in the pace of deforestation worldwide.

Global Industrial Roundwood Imports

In 2020, overseas purchases of industrial roundwood decreased by -12% to 205M cubic meters for the first time since 2017, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In value terms, industrial roundwood imports fell from $16.9B to $14.8B (IndexBox estimates) last year.

In 2020, China (92M cubic meters) represented the leading importer of industrial roundwood, committing 45% of total imports. Austria (21M cubic meters) ranks second in total imports with a 10% share, followed by Sweden (6.2%). Germany (9.1M cubic meters), Finland (7.1M cubic meters), Japan (6.6M cubic meters), Belgium (5.7M cubic meters), India (4.4M cubic meters), South Korea (4.4M cubic meters), Poland (3.4M cubic meters) and Canada (3.2M cubic meters) took a relatively small share of total imports.

Imports into China increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% from 2010 to 2020. At the same time, Belgium (+9.5%), Austria (+4.8%), Sweden (+1.9%) and India (+1.3%) also displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Belgium emerged as the fastest-growing roundwood importer globally, with a CAGR of +9.5% from 2010-2020. Poland and Germany experienced relatively flat trend patterns. By contrast, Finland (-2.8%), Canada (-3.1%), Japan (-5.5%) and South Korea (-8.4%) illustrated downward trends over the same period.

In value terms, China ($8.4B) constitutes the largest market for imported industrial roundwood worldwide, comprising 57% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Austria ($713M), with a 4.8% share of global imports, and it was followed by India, with a 4.4% share.

The average industrial roundwood import price stood at $72 per cubic meter in 2020, flattening from the previous year. Prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest price was India ($147 per cubic meter), while Austria ($35 per cubic meter) was amongst the lowest. From 2010 to 2020, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Korea, while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

World's Largest Industrial Roundwood Suppliers

In 2020, New Zealand (40M cubic meters), distantly followed by the Czech Republic (21M cubic meters), Germany (20M cubic meters), the U.S. (18M cubic meters), Russia (15M cubic meters), and Uruguay (12M cubic meters) represented the leading exporters of industrial roundwood, together constituting 64% of total exports. Australia (7.4M cubic meters), Norway (6.8M cubic meters), Canada (4.4M cubic meters), France (4.2M cubic meters), Latvia (4M cubic meters), Papua New Guinea (3.9M cubic meters), and Belarus (3.6M cubic meters) followed a long way behind the leaders.

In value terms, New Zealand ($2B), the U.S. ($1.6B) and Russia ($1B) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2020, together accounting for 40% of global exports. Germany, the Czech Republic, Uruguay, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Canada, France, Norway, Latvia and Belarus lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 39%.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global industrial roundwood market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 1866 -
  • FCL 1867 -

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
  7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
  8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

    The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

    The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    • United States
    • China
    • Japan
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Brazil
    • Italy
    • Russian Federation
    • India
    • Canada
    • Australia
    • Republic of Korea
    • Spain
    • Mexico
    • Indonesia
    • Netherlands
    • Turkey
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Switzerland
    • Sweden
    • Nigeria
    • Poland
    • Belgium
    • Argentina
    • Norway
    • Austria
    • Thailand
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • South Africa
    • Malaysia
    • Israel
    • Singapore
    • Egypt
    • Philippines
    • Finland
    • Chile
    • Ireland
    • Pakistan
    • Greece
    • Portugal
    • Kazakhstan
    • Algeria
    • Czech Republic
    • Qatar
    • Peru
    • Romania
    • Vietnam
  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    7. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    8. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
    9. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    11. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Consumption, By Country, 2023
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    10. Production Volume And Growth
    11. Exports And Growth
    12. Export Prices And Growth
    13. Market Size And Growth
    14. Per Capita Consumption
    15. Imports And Growth
    16. Import Prices
    17. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    18. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    19. Production, By Country, 2023
    20. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    21. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    22. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    24. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    25. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    26. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
    27. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    30. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    32. Export Prices, 2012–2023

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Free Data: Industrial Roundwood - World