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World - Crude Petroleum Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Report Update: Apr 1, 2025

World - Crude Petroleum Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Dec 12, 2024

Global Oil Markets Brace for Oversupply in 2024

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted a potential surplus in global oil markets in 2024, with an expected oversupply of 1.4 million barrels per day if OPEC+ follows through with its plans to increase output in April. Bloomberg reported that even a complete cancellation of next year's hikes would still result in a surplus of approximately 950,000 barrels per day.

The move comes as OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, opted to delay plans to restore previously shuttered output amid declining crude prices and slow economic activity. Despite these measures, the IEA warns that substantial supply growth from non-OPEC+ countries like the United States, Brazil, Canada, and Guyana could comfortably balance the markets, overshadowing the modest global oil demand increase projected by the agency.

Saudi Arabia remains the world's top crude oil exporter with a value of USD 206.7 billion in 2023, followed by Russia (USD 129.8 billion) and the United States (USD 117.8 billion), according to IndexBox data. The United Arab Emirates and Canada also feature prominently among the top five exporters, signaling strong supply capabilities outside of the OPEC+ alliance.

On the import side, China dominates with a massive demand valued at USD 337.3 billion, far surpassing the United States' USD 165.2 billion and India's USD 140.4 billion imports, highlighting Asia's crucial role in driving global consumption. However, concerns over a deceleration in China's economic activity, a major consumption driver over the past two decades, have contributed to the recent 16% retreat in crude prices since early July.

Despite ongoing challenges within the OPEC+ strategy, such as consistently exceeding agreed production limits—as observed in November with countries like the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, and Russia exceeding quotas by 680,000 barrels per day—projections for demand growth appear dim. OPEC's secretariat in Vienna has made significant downward adjustments in demand growth forecasts for 2024, aligning closer to IEA's more conservative outlook, reflecting the complexities and fluctuating dynamics of the global oil market.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global crude oil market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

    Country coverage:

    Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

    + the largest producing countries

    Data coverage:

    • Global market volume and value
    • Per Capita consumption
    • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
    • Global production, split by region and country
    • Global trade (exports and imports)
    • Export and import prices
    • Market trends, drivers and restraints
    • Key market players and their profiles

    Reasons to buy this report:

    • Take advantage of the latest data
    • Find deeper insights into current market developments
    • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

    This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

    In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

    1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
    2. How to load your idle production capacity
    3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
    4. How to increase your profit margins
    5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
    6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
    7. How to outsource production to other countries
    8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

    While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

    1. 1. INTRODUCTION

      Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

      1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
      2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
      3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
      4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

    2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

      A Quick Overview of Market Performance

      1. KEY FINDINGS
      2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

    3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

      Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

      1. MARKET SIZE
      2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
      3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030

    4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

      Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
      2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
      3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
      4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
      5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

    5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

      Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
      2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
      3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
      4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

    6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

      Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
      2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
      3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
      4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
      5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

    7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

      The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

      1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
      2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY

    8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

      The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

      1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2024
      2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
      3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

    9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

      The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

      1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2024
      2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
      3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

    10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

      The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

    11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

      The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

      This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
      • United States
      • China
      • Japan
      • Germany
      • United Kingdom
      • France
      • Brazil
      • Italy
      • Russian Federation
      • India
      • Canada
      • Australia
      • Republic of Korea
      • Spain
      • Mexico
      • Indonesia
      • Netherlands
      • Turkey
      • Saudi Arabia
      • Switzerland
      • Sweden
      • Nigeria
      • Poland
      • Belgium
      • Argentina
      • Norway
      • Austria
      • Thailand
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Colombia
      • Denmark
      • South Africa
      • Malaysia
      • Israel
      • Singapore
      • Egypt
      • Philippines
      • Finland
      • Chile
      • Ireland
      • Pakistan
      • Greece
      • Portugal
      • Kazakhstan
      • Algeria
      • Czech Republic
      • Qatar
      • Peru
      • Romania
      • Vietnam

    12. LIST OF TABLES

      1. Key Findings In 2024
      2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      3. Market Value, 2012–2024
      4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2024
      5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      6. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      7. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      8. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2024
      9. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      10. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      11. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2024

    13. LIST OF FIGURES

      1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      2. Market Value, 2012–2024
      3. Consumption, By Country, 2024
      4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
      5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
      6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
      7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
      8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
      9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
      10. Production Volume And Growth
      11. Exports And Growth
      12. Export Prices And Growth
      13. Market Size And Growth
      14. Per Capita Consumption
      15. Imports And Growth
      16. Import Prices
      17. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      18. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      19. Production, By Country, 2024
      20. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      21. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      22. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      23. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
      24. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      25. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      26. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
      27. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2024
      28. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2024
      29. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
      30. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      31. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
      32. Export Prices, 2012–2024

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