
World - Sugar - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
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View PricingGlobal Sugar Production to Grow Tangibly This Year, Keeping Prices Stable
IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Sugar - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.
This year, world sugar production is expected to rise by 3% to 193M tons. The growth will be encouraged by favorable weather conditions in most of the largest producing countries, as well as the providing exemptions on the neonicotinoid usage against plant diseases and blights in France, Germany and the UK. The drop in sugar production and shipments from Brazil will be offset by large volumes coming from Thailand, which will boost global exports by +2.6% y-o-y. The increased supply in the world market is to keep sugar prices relatively stable over the next two years.
Key Trends and Insights
According to IndexBox estimates based on USDA data, global sugar production will increase by +3% y-o-y to 193M tons in 2021, driven by high demand from China and India. The economy's gradual recovery after the pandemic and the relative normalization of the catering and food service sector are contributing to the growth of worldwide demand.
Sugar production in the U.S. will remain at its 2020 rate to the end of this year and will amount to 8.7M tons. Strong growth in America's sugar beet crop should offset the expected decline in sugar cane production in Louisiana.
Due to a prolonged drought, the sugarcane crop in Mexico may decline slightly to 7.5M tons, while in Australia favorable weather conditions will boost production by +1.5% y-o-y to 4.6M tons.
Production in Brazil will fall by -5% y-o-y to 26M tons due to dry weather and wildfires, as well as the decrease in sugar cane planted in favor of soybeans and corn.
An increase in harvest compared to last year is expected in Guatemala (by +3% to 3.1M tons), India (by +3% to 36M tons), Indonesia (by +3% to 2.3M tons), Pakistan (by +14%to 6.6M tons), Thailand (by +39% to 25M tons), and Russia (by +6% to 7.5M tons).
In the EU, sugar production is forecasted to increase by +7% to 19M tons this year. This will most likely be facilitated by the removal of bans on the use of neonicotinoids in France and Germany. Sugar beet seeds will be allowed to be coated with the substance to protect against the yellow beet virus, which would ensure high yields. In the UK, the approval to use neonicotinoids should increase yields by +11% to 1.2M tons.
Global sugar exports will increase by +2.6% to 39M tons. A decrease in exports from Brazil will be offset by growth in supplies from Thailand. Russian sugar exports are expected to decline by approx. 390K tons due to decreases in shipments to Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan amid falling demand for imported sugar in these countries.
According to USDA forecasts, global sugar prices in the current year and the first half of 2022 will remain stable at $0.44 per kg. This will be due to an increase in the sugar supply on the world market, despite the decline in production in some above-mentioned countries.
Global Sugar Exports by Country
In 2020, global exports of sugar skyrocketed to 35M tons, increasing by +23% compared with 2019 figures. In value terms, sugar exports rose remarkably to $10.4B in 2020.
Brazil prevails in sugar export structure, amounting to 27M tons, which was approx. 75% of total exports in 2020. Thailand (3M tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by India (1.7M tons). All these countries together took near 13% share of total exports. The following exporters - Guatemala (824K tons), South Africa (671K tons) and El Salvador (532K tons) - each finished at a 5.7% share of total exports.
Brazil was also the fastest-growing country in terms of sugar exports (+66.9% y-o-y) in 2020. At the same time, India (+21.3%) and El Salvador (+3.5%) also displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, Guatemala (-19.6%), Thailand (-20.9%) and South Africa (-31.0%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period.
In value terms, Brazil ($7.4B) remains the largest sugar supplier worldwide, comprising 71% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Thailand ($885M), with an 8.5% share of global exports. It was followed by India, with a 5.4% share.
Largest Sugar Importers Worldwide
Indonesia (5.3M tons) and China (4.7M tons) represented roughly 42% of total imports of sugar in 2020. The U.S. (2.3M tons) took a 9.9% share (based on tons) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Malaysia (8.8%), India (8.5%) and South Korea (7.8%). Japan (1,049K tons), the UK (528K tons), South Africa (385K tons) and Taiwan (Chinese) (384K tons) held a little share of total imports.
In value terms, the largest sugar importing markets worldwide were Indonesia ($1.8B), China ($1.5B) and the U.S. ($1.3B), with a combined 49% share of global imports. These countries were followed by Malaysia, India, South Korea, Japan, South Africa, the UK and Taiwan (Chinese), which together accounted for a further 31%.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global sugar market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- FCL 162 - Sugar, Raw Centrifugal
- FCL 163 -
Country coverage:
Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:
- USA
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
+ the largest producing countries
Data coverage:
- Global market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Global production, split by region and country
- Global trade (exports and imports)
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2035
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
- MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export
- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
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7. PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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8. IMPORTS
The Largest Import Supplying Countries
- IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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9. EXPORTS
The Largest Destinations for Exports
- EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
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11. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2024
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022–2024
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Harvested Area, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Yield, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Import Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Export Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Consumption, by Country, 2024
- Market Volume Forecast to 2035
- Market Value Forecast to 2035
- Market Size and Growth, by Product
- Average Per Capita Consumption, by Product
- Exports and Growth, by Product
- Export Prices and Growth, by Product
- Production Volume and Growth
- Yield and Growth
- Exports and Growth
- Export Prices and Growth
- Market Size and Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports and Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Harvested Area: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Yield: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Harvested Area, by Country, 2024
- Harvested Area, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Yield, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
- Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Import Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
- Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Export Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)