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Graphic Packaging Holding Falls Short of Q4 Revenue Expectations
Feb 4, 2025

Graphic Packaging Holding Falls Short of Q4 Revenue Expectations

Graphic Packaging Holding (NYSE:GPK), a leader in consumer packaging solutions, reported a disappointing financial performance for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2024, missing market revenue expectations. Sales fell by 6.8% year-on-year to $2.10 billion (source). The miss was emphasized by the company's full-year revenue guidance, which, at the midpoint, came in 1.5% below analysts' estimates at $8.8 billion.

According to data from the IndexBox platform, the broader industrial packaging industry has seen challenges, with eco-friendly packaging nosing out traditional materials like plastic. However, the market's inclination towards sustainability did not fortify Graphic Packaging's market position this quarter, as their non-GAAP profits of $0.59 per share fell 6.2% short of consensus estimates.

CEO Looks to 2025 for Rebuilding Success

Despite the current setbacks, Michael Doss, President and CEO of Graphic Packaging, remains optimistic about the company's future. He emphasized their commitment to long-term value creation, focusing on innovation and competitive advantages in recycled paperboard across North America and expansion into new markets in 2025.

While Graphic Packaging's five-year annualized revenue growth of 7.4% sits below the industrial sector benchmark, the company's efficiency improvements stand out. Over the last five years, the operating margin has increased by 4.7 percentage points, underscoring improved operational efficiency. Nonetheless, recent expenses in marketing, R&D, and administrative functions have dented short-term profitability.

As Wall Street looks ahead, analysts project a 1.1% revenue growth over the next year, revealing the company's struggles in moving the needle compared to sector averages. Despite an impressive five-year EPS growth rate of 23.4%, a recent decrement to $0.59 in Q4 from $0.75 last year highlights challenges ahead.

The outlook remains cautiously optimistic with expected EPS growth pegged at 7.5% over the upcoming year. Still, investors may have to weigh these expectations against the full-year guidance that still falls below the market's forecast.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global paper and paperboard market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 1676 - Household and sanitary papers
  • FCL 1617 - Case materials
  • FCL 1618 - Cartonboard
  • FCL 1621 - Wrapping papers
  • FCL 1622 - Other papers mainly for packaging
  • FCL 1683 - Other paper and paperboard n.e.s. (not elsewhere specified)
  • FCL 1671 - Newsprint
  • FCL 1612 - Printing and writing papers, uncoated, mechanical
  • FCL 1615 - Printing and writing papers, uncoated, wood free
  • FCL 1616 - Printing and writing papers, coated

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

  • USA
  • China
  • Japan
  • Germany
  • United Kingdom
  • France
  • Brazil
  • Italy
  • Russian Federation
  • India
  • Canada
  • Australia
  • Republic of Korea
  • Spain
  • Mexico
  • Indonesia
  • Netherlands
  • Turkey
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Switzerland
  • Sweden
  • Nigeria
  • Poland
  • Belgium
  • Argentina
  • Norway
  • Austria
  • Thailand
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Colombia
  • Denmark
  • South Africa
  • Malaysia
  • Israel
  • Singapore
  • Egypt
  • Philippines
  • Finland
  • Chile
  • Ireland
  • Pakistan
  • Greece
  • Portugal
  • Kazakhstan
  • Algeria
  • Czech Republic
  • Qatar
  • Peru
  • Romania
  • Vietnam

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Company coverage:

International Paper Company, Kimberly-Clark Corporation, Sca Americas, Pratt Industries, P. H. Glatfelter Company, Clearwater Paper Corporation, Kapstone Paper and Packaging Corporation, Neenah Paper, Appvion, Hollingsworth & Vose Company, Nice-Pak Products, Expera Specialty Solutions, Sca Tissue North America, Crane & Co., Blue Ridge Paper Products, SDW Holdings Corporation, Longview Fibre Paper and Packaging, Wausau Paper Corp., Simpson Investment Company, Cellu Tissue Holdings, Kamilche Company, Newpage Holding Corporation, Verso Paper Holdings, Cycle Link, Verso Paper Management, New-Indy Containerboard, Mondi Bags USA

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDSThis Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    3. TRADE BALANCE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2035

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORTS

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export

    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)

  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)

  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2024
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    3. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    4. Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    7. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    10. Export Prices, By Country, 2012–2024

  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    2. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    7. Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2035
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2035
    10. Market Size and Growth, By Product
    11. Average Per Capita Consumption, By Product
    12. Exports and Growth, By Product
    13. Export Prices and Growth, By Product
    14. Production Volume and Growth
    15. Exports and Growth
    16. Export Prices and Growth
    17. Market Size and Growth
    18. Per Capita Consumption
    19. Imports and Growth
    20. Import Prices
    21. Production, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    22. Production, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    24. Imports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    25. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    26. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    27. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    28. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    30. Exports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    31. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
    32. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    33. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
    34. Export Prices, By Country, 2012–2024

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