Global Gummed Paper Market to Witness Steady Growth with +4.7% CAGR by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global gummed paper market is expected to experience a steady rise in demand, fueled by various factors driving consumption. Forecasts suggest a growth in market volume by 4.7% and market value by 6.8% from 2024 to 2030, positioning the market for significant expansion in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for gummed paper worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next six years. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +4.7% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.1M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +6.8% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $4.4B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2024, approx. 861K tons of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) were consumed worldwide; therefore, remained relatively stable against 2023. Overall, consumption, however, saw a noticeable shrinkage. Global consumption peaked at 1.3M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global gummed paper market size fell slightly to $2.9B in 2024, almost unchanged from the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, recorded a noticeable setback. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level at $4.3B in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were China (224K tons), the United States (137K tons) and India (87K tons), with a combined 52% share of global consumption. Pakistan, Japan, Brazil, Germany, Turkey, Italy and South Korea lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 21%.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Japan (with a CAGR of +2.4%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the consumption figures.

In value terms, the largest gummed paper markets worldwide were the United States ($584M), China ($545M) and India ($257M), with a combined 47% share of the global market.

In terms of the main consuming countries, India, with a CAGR of +4.8%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of gummed paper per capita consumption in 2024 were the United States (404 kg per 1000 persons), Italy (301 kg per 1000 persons) and South Korea (298 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Japan (with a CAGR of +2.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the per capita consumption figures.

Production

World Production of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2024, global gummed paper production expanded slightly to 862K tons, surging by 2.4% on 2023 figures. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a perceptible decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 9.4%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 1.3M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, gummed paper production fell slightly to $3B in 2024 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a noticeable downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 13%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level at $4.3B in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were China (236K tons), the United States (172K tons) and India (86K tons), with a combined 57% share of global production. Japan, Pakistan, Germany, Brazil, Italy, Turkey and South Korea lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 23%.

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Japan (with a CAGR of +3.0%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

In 2024, approx. 143K tons of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) were imported worldwide; waning by -4.5% on the previous year. Overall, imports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 23%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 167K tons. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, gummed paper imports reduced to $536M in 2024. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 27%. Global imports peaked at $591M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports By Country

In 2024, Canada (23K tons), distantly followed by the United States (11K tons), India (7.9K tons), the Philippines (7.8K tons) and Germany (7.2K tons) were the main importers of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives), together creating 40% of total imports. Spain (6.4K tons), Mexico (6.3K tons), the UK (5.3K tons), Belgium (4.9K tons) and Italy (4.1K tons) took a minor share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, average annual rates of growth with regard to gummed paper imports into Canada stood at +10.4%. At the same time, the Philippines (+16.6%), Belgium (+9.8%), Mexico (+8.5%), the United States (+3.3%) and Spain (+2.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, the Philippines emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +16.6% from 2013-2024. The UK experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Germany (-1.2%), Italy (-3.7%) and India (-6.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Canada (+10 p.p.), the Philippines (+4.5 p.p.), Mexico (+2.6 p.p.), Belgium (+2.2 p.p.) and the United States (+2.1 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2013-2024, the share of Italy (-1.6 p.p.) and India (-6.3 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Canada ($122M) constitutes the largest market for imported gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) worldwide, comprising 23% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($35M), with a 6.6% share of global imports. It was followed by Mexico, with a 5.1% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Canada stood at +17.7%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United States (+2.9% per year) and Mexico (+9.4% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2024, the average gummed paper import price amounted to $3,757 per ton, standing approx. at the previous year. Over the last eleven-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.7%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when the average import price increased by 6% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($5,322 per ton), while the Philippines ($1,122 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+6.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Gummed Paper And Paperboard (Excluding Self-Adhesives)

After two years of decline, shipments abroad of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) increased by 2.2% to 143K tons in 2024. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 172K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, gummed paper exports contracted to $552M in 2024. In general, total exports indicated a tangible expansion from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, exports decreased by -9.7% against 2022 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at $611M in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports By Country

The United States represented the major exporter of gummed paper and paperboard (excluding self-adhesives) in the world, with the volume of exports reaching 46K tons, which was near 32% of total exports in 2024. Germany (19K tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a 13% share, followed by China (8.6%), Canada (5.7%) and India (4.8%). Italy (5.8K tons), the UK (5.5K tons), Saudi Arabia (4.6K tons), Belgium (3.9K tons) and South Korea (3.4K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2024, average annual rates of growth with regard to gummed paper exports from the United States stood at +7.9%. At the same time, Saudi Arabia (+10.8%), India (+10.6%), Belgium (+9.1%), China (+7.7%) and Canada (+5.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Saudi Arabia emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +10.8% from 2013-2024. Germany and Italy experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the UK (-1.3%) and South Korea (-1.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2024, the share of the United States, China, India and Saudi Arabia increased by +14, +3.6, +2.7 and +1.8 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($202M) remains the largest gummed paper supplier worldwide, comprising 37% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Germany ($70M), with a 13% share of global exports. It was followed by the UK, with a 6.6% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in the United States amounted to +10.4%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Germany (+1.3% per year) and the UK (-3.0% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average gummed paper export price stood at $3,853 per ton in 2024, falling by -3.9% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $4,010 per ton in 2023, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($6,609 per ton), while Saudi Arabia ($193 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+9.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform