Global Herbicides Market Expected to Grow at CAGR of 4.8% and Reach $52.7B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Herbicides - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

The global herbicide market is expected to see growth in both volume and value over the next seven years, driven by increasing demand worldwide. The market is forecasted to expand at a CAGR of +4.8% in volume and +6.3% in value from 2023 to 2030. Consumption patterns have shown fluctuations, with China leading in both production and exports. Key players include the United States, India, and Brazil. Prices have varied among countries, with Germany having the highest export price and China the lowest.

Market Forecast

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for herbicides worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +4.8% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 6.8M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +6.3% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $52.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

Consumption

In 2023, consumption of herbicides decreased by -0.4% to 4.9M tons, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at 5M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global herbicide market revenue dropped to $34.4B in 2023, declining by -5.8% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked at $36.5B in 2022, and then contracted in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (657K tons), the United States (610K tons) and India (388K tons), together comprising 34% of global consumption. Brazil, Indonesia, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Japan, Turkey, Russia, Thailand and France lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 30%.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for France (with a CAGR of +12.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest herbicide markets worldwide were the United States ($4.9B), Japan ($4.3B) and China ($2.2B), with a combined 33% share of the global market. Brazil, Canada, India, Indonesia, France, Turkey, Mexico, Australia, Russia and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 32%.

Russia, with a CAGR of +12.3%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of herbicide per capita consumption in 2023 were Australia (5.6 kg per person), Canada (4 kg per person) and the United States (1.8 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for France (with a CAGR of +12.4%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

Production

In 2023, production of herbicides decreased by -0.3% to 5.3M tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a four-year rising trend. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 33% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 5.3M tons in 2022, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

In value terms, herbicide production stood at $32.4B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 15%. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $32.7B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of herbicide production was China (2.3M tons), accounting for 43% of total volume. Moreover, herbicide production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (710K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (482K tons), with a 9.1% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China stood at +6.0%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (+3.1% per year) and India (+7.8% per year).

Imports

Imports

In 2023, supplies from abroad of herbicides decreased by -5.9% to 2.4M tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a three-year rising trend. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 22%. Global imports peaked at 2.6M tons in 2022, and then fell in the following year.

In value terms, herbicide imports fell significantly to $16.1B in 2023. Overall, total imports indicated a perceptible expansion from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, imports increased by +40.1% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 36% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $19.3B, and then contracted markedly in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2023, Brazil (299K tons), followed by Canada (162K tons) and Australia (155K tons) represented the largest importers of herbicides, together achieving 25% of total imports. Thailand (96K tons), Nigeria (88K tons), Indonesia (83K tons), France (74K tons), India (72K tons), the United States (64K tons), Ukraine (56K tons), Argentina (53K tons), Ghana (50K tons) and Germany (48K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +22.9%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($1.8B), Canada ($1.1B) and France ($829M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, with a combined 23% share of global imports. Australia, Germany, the United States, Argentina, Ukraine, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Thailand and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

India, with a CAGR of +11.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average herbicide import price amounted to $6,588 per ton, falling by -11.2% against the previous year. Overall, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 an increase of 26% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $7,422 per ton, and then declined in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($13,577 per ton), while Thailand ($3,087 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+3.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

Exports

In 2023, after three years of growth, there was significant decline in shipments abroad of herbicides, when their volume decreased by -5.1% to 2.8M tons. In general, total exports indicated a perceptible expansion from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +32.9% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 22%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum at 2.9M tons in 2022, and then reduced in the following year.

In value terms, herbicide exports fell dramatically to $16.3B in 2023. Overall, total exports indicated moderate growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +35.6% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 when exports increased by 32%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $20.5B, and then shrank sharply in the following year.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, accounting for 1.6M tons, which was near 59% of total exports in 2023. India (166K tons) took the second position in the ranking, followed by the United States (165K tons). All these countries together took approx. 12% share of total exports. The following exporters - Belgium (122K tons), France (91K tons), Germany (78K tons), Israel (64K tons) and Malaysia (52K tons) - together made up 15% of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to herbicide exports from China stood at +8.0%. At the same time, Belgium (+15.9%), India (+14.5%) and Malaysia (+3.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Belgium emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +15.9% from 2013-2023. Israel experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Germany (-1.0%), the United States (-2.6%) and France (-4.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. China (+17 p.p.), India (+3.6 p.p.) and Belgium (+2.8 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while Germany, France and the United States saw its share reduced by -2%, -4.7% and -6% from 2013 to 2023, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($4.8B) remains the largest herbicide supplier worldwide, comprising 30% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($1.7B), with an 11% share of global exports. It was followed by the United States, with a 10% share.

In China, herbicide exports expanded at an average annual rate of +7.2% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: India (+17.7% per year) and the United States (+0.6% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average herbicide export price amounted to $5,852 per ton, dropping by -15.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when the average export price increased by 17%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $6,960 per ton, and then fell significantly in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($15,335 per ton), while China ($2,935 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+5.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform