Global Iron or Steel Chain Market to Witness Steady Growth with a CAGR of +1.5% from 2023 to 2030, Reaching $4.3B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Iron Or Steel Chain - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The demand for iron and steel chain worldwide is on the rise, with market performance projected to expand at a CAGR of +1.5% in volume and +3.3% in value from 2023 to 2030. This growth trend is set to bring the market volume to 565K tons and market value to $4.3B by the end of 2030.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for iron or steel chain worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 565K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.3% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $4.3B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Iron Or Steel Chain

In 2023, consumption of iron or steel chain decreased by -1.6% to 509K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after six years of growth. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 522K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global metal chain market value fell slightly to $3.4B in 2023, waning by -2.2% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated tangible growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +79.4% against 2015 indices. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level at $3.5B in 2022, and then dropped in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (112K tons), the United States (70K tons) and India (47K tons), with a combined 45% share of global consumption. Japan, Italy, Russia, Bangladesh, Denmark, Canada, Turkey, Germany, Saudi Arabia and Austria lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 29%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Denmark (with a CAGR of +36.1%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest metal chain markets worldwide were Japan ($696M), China ($445M) and the United States ($321M), with a combined 43% share of the global market. Bangladesh, Italy, India, Austria, Denmark, Germany, Canada, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Turkey lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 36%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Denmark, with a CAGR of +45.4%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2023, the highest levels of metal chain per capita consumption was registered in Denmark (1,837 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Austria (868 kg per 1000 persons), Italy (416 kg per 1000 persons) and Canada (276 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of metal chain was estimated at 64 kg per 1000 persons.

In Denmark, metal chain per capita consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +35.5% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Austria (-4.9% per year) and Italy (-3.6% per year).

Production

World Production of Iron Or Steel Chain

In 2023, after seven years of growth, there was decline in production of iron or steel chain, when its volume decreased by -0.5% to 483K tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak volume at 486K tons in 2022, and then reduced slightly in the following year.

In value terms, metal chain production fell to $3.4B in 2023 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, enjoyed a buoyant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the production volume increased by 31%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum level at $3.4B in 2022, and then contracted in the following year.

Production By Country

China (146K tons) remains the largest metal chain producing country worldwide, accounting for 30% of total volume. Moreover, metal chain production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (71K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (45K tons), with a 9.4% share.

In China, metal chain production remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (+3.5% per year) and India (+3.0% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Iron Or Steel Chain

In 2023, global metal chain imports shrank to 104K tons, waning by -5.3% against 2022 figures. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a perceptible shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 7.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 127K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, metal chain imports shrank modestly to $529M in 2023. Overall, imports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 15%. Global imports peaked at $542M in 2022, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of metal chain imports in 2023 were Greece (5.3K tons), the United States (5.1K tons), Canada (4.9K tons), Spain (4.9K tons), the Philippines (4.8K tons), the UK (4.7K tons), Germany (3.9K tons), Japan (3.7K tons), India (3.7K tons), Poland (3.6K tons), France (2.9K tons) and Italy (2.3K tons), together recording 48% of total import. Turkey (2K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Greece (with a CAGR of +24.3%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Japan ($87M) constitutes the largest market for imported iron or steel chain worldwide, comprising 16% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($27M), with a 5% share of global imports. It was followed by Germany, with a 4.6% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of value in Japan amounted to +15.9%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+3.8% per year) and Germany (+1.2% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average metal chain import price stood at $5,081 per ton in 2023, with an increase of 3.1% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 13% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($23,375 per ton), while the Philippines ($1,829 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+6.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Iron Or Steel Chain

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of iron or steel chain decreased by -0.5% to 79K tons in 2023. In general, exports showed a pronounced setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when exports increased by 11%. The global exports peaked at 110K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, metal chain exports stood at $409M in 2023. Over the period under review, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at $431M in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports By Country

China was the key exporter of iron or steel chain in the world, with the volume of exports finishing at 35K tons, which was near 44% of total exports in 2023. The United States (6.3K tons) held an 8.1% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Turkey (7%), Greece (6%) and Italy (4.5%). The following exporters - Norway (1.9K tons), Germany (1.9K tons), South Korea (1.8K tons), India (1.7K tons), Taiwan (Chinese) (1.6K tons), the Netherlands (1.3K tons) and Belgium (1.2K tons) - each resulted at a 15% share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to metal chain exports from China stood at -4.1%. At the same time, Greece (+48.8%), the Netherlands (+7.6%) and the United States (+4.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Greece emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +48.8% from 2013-2023. Norway, Turkey and India experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Belgium (-1.1%), South Korea (-3.6%), Italy (-3.8%), Germany (-4.9%) and Taiwan (Chinese) (-7.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Greece (+5.9 p.p.), the United States (+4.3 p.p.) and Turkey (+2.1 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2013-2023, the share of China (-3.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($149M) remains the largest metal chain supplier worldwide, comprising 36% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Italy ($41M), with a 9.9% share of global exports. It was followed by the United States, with a 7% share.

In China, metal chain exports expanded at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Italy (+1.0% per year) and the United States (+3.9% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average metal chain export price stood at $5,216 per ton in 2023, increasing by 3.6% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.9%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($15,229 per ton), while Greece ($2,206 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+6.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform