Global Phenolic Resins Market to Witness Moderate Growth with a CAGR of +2.9% from 2024 to 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Phenolic Resins In Primary Forms - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

Driven by rising global demand, the phenolic resins market is set to see steady growth in volume and value over the next six years. With a projected CAGR of +2.9% for volume and +4.8% for value, the market is expected to reach 7.5M tons and $18.6B respectively by 2030.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for phenolic resins in primary forms worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next six-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.9% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 7.5M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.8% for the period from 2024 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $18.6B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Phenolic Resins In Primary Forms

In 2024, the amount of phenolic resins in primary forms consumed worldwide rose modestly to 6.3M tons, increasing by 2.3% against the previous year. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 8.4%. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 6.4M tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global phenolic resins market value was estimated at $14B in 2024, picking up by 3.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, the total consumption indicated a moderate increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption decreased by -1.4% against 2022 indices. Global consumption peaked at $14.2B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (1.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of phenolic resins consumption, accounting for 22% of total volume. Moreover, phenolic resins consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (612K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (543K tons), with an 8.6% share.

In China, phenolic resins consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+3.7% per year) and India (+4.8% per year).

In value terms, China ($2.6B), Japan ($1.9B) and India ($1.2B) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, together accounting for 40% of the global market. The United States, Indonesia, Germany, Brazil, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Russia and Vietnam lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 25%.

Russia, with a CAGR of +6.8%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of phenolic resins per capita consumption in 2024 were Japan (2.6 kg per person), Germany (2.6 kg per person) and Russia (2.4 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Russia (with a CAGR of +6.3%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Phenolic Resins In Primary Forms

In 2024, global production of phenolic resins in primary forms stood at 6.4M tons, picking up by 1.6% against the year before. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 8%. Global production peaked at 6.5M tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, phenolic resins production rose to $14.4B in 2024 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a measured increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, production decreased by -2.4% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $14.7B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (1.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of phenolic resins production, accounting for 22% of total volume. Moreover, phenolic resins production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (665K tons), twofold. India (554K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with an 8.7% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China amounted to +5.0%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (+4.4% per year) and India (+4.6% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Phenolic Resins In Primary Forms

In 2024, the amount of phenolic resins in primary forms imported worldwide declined to 912K tons, dropping by -3.9% compared with 2023. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 16%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 1.1M tons. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, phenolic resins imports shrank to $2.1B in 2024. In general, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 32% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $2.4B. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports By Country

The purchases of the nine major importers of phenolic resins in primary forms, namely China, Canada, the United States, Germany, Ukraine, Thailand, Ireland, France and South Korea, represented more than third of total import. India (26K tons) took a minor share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Ireland (with a CAGR of +16.7%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($303M) constitutes the largest market for imported phenolic resins in primary forms worldwide, comprising 15% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($125M), with a 6.1% share of global imports. It was followed by Canada, with a 5.2% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China amounted to -1.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (-1.7% per year) and Canada (+6.9% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2024, the average phenolic resins import price amounted to $2,257 per ton, approximately reflecting the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $2,451 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($3,381 per ton), while Ireland ($719 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ukraine (+1.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Phenolic Resins In Primary Forms

In 2024, the amount of phenolic resins in primary forms exported worldwide declined to 930K tons, which is down by -7.9% on the year before. In general, exports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 13% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 1.1M tons. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, phenolic resins exports contracted to $2B in 2024. Overall, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 31%. The global exports peaked at $2.3B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports By Country

The shipments of the nine major exporters of phenolic resins in primary forms, namely China, the United States, Poland, Slovenia, Taiwan (Chinese), Germany, Canada, India and Finland, represented more than half of total export. Singapore (31K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by China (with a CAGR of +5.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest phenolic resins supplying countries worldwide were the United States ($260M), China ($237M) and Germany ($165M), with a combined 33% share of global exports. Taiwan (Chinese), Singapore, Poland, Canada, India, Slovenia and Finland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 26%.

Singapore, with a CAGR of +4.5%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average phenolic resins export price stood at $2,157 per ton in 2024, standing approx. at the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average export price increased by 16%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $2,285 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($3,198 per ton), while Slovenia ($710 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+2.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform