Worldwide Preserved Sardines Market: Anticipated to Reach 2M Tons in Volume and $7.4B in Value by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Sardines (Prepared Or Preserved) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global preserved sardines market is poised for growth, with a forecasted CAGR of +1.5% in volume and +3.3% in value from 2023 to 2030. This upward trend is fueled by rising demand for preserved sardines worldwide, indicating a lucrative market opportunity for industry players.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for preserved sardines worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +1.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.3% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $7.4B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sardines (Prepared Or Preserved)

In 2023, global preserved sardines consumption contracted slightly to 1.8M tons, declining by -3.4% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 7.5% against the previous year. Global consumption peaked at 2M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2023, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global preserved sardines market size shrank slightly to $5.9B in 2023, remaining stable against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $6.1B. From 2020 to 2023, the growth of the global market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (291K tons), the United States (163K tons) and India (126K tons), with a combined 32% share of global consumption.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for India (with a CAGR of +2.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($650M), Japan ($555M) and the United States ($526M) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, with a combined 29% share of the global market. India, the UK, Brazil, Germany, Mexico, Indonesia, Pakistan, Russia and Bangladesh lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 22%.

India, with a CAGR of +5.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of preserved sardines per capita consumption in 2023 were the UK (559 kg per 1000 persons), Germany (501 kg per 1000 persons) and the United States (485 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for India (with a CAGR of +1.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the per capita consumption figures.

Production

World Production of Sardines (Prepared Or Preserved)

In 2023, global production of sardines (prepared or preserved) dropped to 1.9M tons, leveling off at the year before. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 2M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2023, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, preserved sardines production reduced to $6.1B in 2023 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 9.6%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $6.2B. From 2020 to 2023, global production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of preserved sardines production was China (390K tons), accounting for 20% of total volume. Moreover, preserved sardines production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Morocco (146K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was held by India (127K tons), with a 6.6% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China stood at +3.1%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Morocco (+2.0% per year) and India (+2.7% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Sardines (Prepared Or Preserved)

In 2023, approx. 394K tons of sardines (prepared or preserved) were imported worldwide; waning by -7.2% on the year before. In general, imports saw a noticeable setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 9%. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum at 506K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, preserved sardines imports shrank to $1.3B in 2023. Over the period under review, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 14%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $1.4B in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports By Country

In 2023, the United States (38K tons), followed by South Africa (25K tons) were the key importers of sardines (prepared or preserved), together comprising 16% of total imports. France (16K tons), the UK (15K tons), Malaysia (14K tons), the Dominican Republic (13K tons), Gabon (11K tons), Democratic Republic of the Congo (9.6K tons), Germany (9.5K tons), Ukraine (8.2K tons), Singapore (7.9K tons), Spain (7.8K tons) and Ghana (7.5K tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Gabon (with a CAGR of +14.3%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($180M), France ($93M) and South Africa ($71M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together accounting for 26% of global imports. The UK, Germany, Spain, the Dominican Republic, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Gabon, Malaysia, Singapore, Ukraine and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

Among the main importing countries, Gabon, with a CAGR of +13.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average preserved sardines import price amounted to $3,384 per ton, with an increase of 5.5% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 an increase of 7.7%. Global import price peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Spain ($6,028 per ton), while Ukraine ($1,538 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ukraine (+5.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sardines (Prepared Or Preserved)

Global preserved sardines exports totaled 483K tons in 2023, surging by 2.3% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 19%. The global exports peaked at 488K tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, preserved sardines exports reduced to $1.5B in 2023. Overall, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when exports increased by 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure at $1.5B in 2022, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Exports By Country

The biggest shipments were from Morocco (119K tons), China (100K tons) and Thailand (96K tons), together resulting at 65% of total export. It was distantly followed by Ecuador (24K tons), comprising a 5% share of total exports. Indonesia (19K tons), Latvia (16K tons), Russia (14K tons), Portugal (11K tons), Poland (8.8K tons), Canada (8.7K tons) and Vietnam (8K tons) held a little share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of +16.7%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Morocco ($486M) remains the largest preserved sardines supplier worldwide, comprising 32% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($215M), with a 14% share of global exports. It was followed by Thailand, with a 13% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Morocco was relatively modest. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+12.7% per year) and Thailand (-1.9% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average preserved sardines export price stood at $3,105 per ton in 2023, waning by -2.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, continues to indicate mild growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the average export price increased by 7.5%. The global export price peaked at $3,194 per ton in 2022, and then dropped in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Portugal ($7,280 per ton), while Russia ($1,339 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Latvia (+8.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform