Global Preserved Tomatoes Market to Grow at CAGR of +3.2% Through 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Preserved Tomatoes - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global market for preserved tomatoes is expected to see steady growth in both consumption and production over the next seven years. Key trends include a decrease in consumption in 2023 after a decade of growth, significant fluctuations in both consumption and production levels, and strong growth in exports from countries like Italy and the Netherlands. Overall, the market is forecasted to see increases in both volume and value, driven by growing demand worldwide.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for preserved tomatoes worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.2% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 18M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.2% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $25.2B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Preserved Tomatoes

In 2023, consumption of preserved tomatoes decreased by -3.3% to 15M tons for the first time since 2012, thus ending a ten-year rising trend. Overall, the total consumption indicated a temperate expansion from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +55.4% against 2013 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 9.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 15M tons in 2022, and then fell modestly in the following year.

The global preserved tomato market size dropped to $17.6B in 2023, remaining stable against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated temperate growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +59.8% against 2013 indices. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs at $17.7B in 2022, and then fell slightly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (2.2M tons), Russia (1.5M tons) and the United States (1.2M tons), together accounting for 33% of global consumption. India, Italy, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Japan, Nigeria, the UK, Bangladesh and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 28%.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Italy (with a CAGR of +13.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($2.4B), Russia ($1.7B) and the United States ($965M) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together comprising 29% of the global market. India, Indonesia, Brazil, Italy, Japan, Pakistan, the UK, Bangladesh, Germany and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

Italy, with a CAGR of +13.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of preserved tomato per capita consumption in 2023 were Russia (11 kg per person), Italy (10 kg per person) and the UK (4.5 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +13.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Preserved Tomatoes

In 2023, production of preserved tomatoes decreased by -3.1% to 15M tons for the first time since 2012, thus ending a ten-year rising trend. Over the period under review, the total production indicated noticeable growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production increased by +55.8% against 2013 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 9.9%. Global production peaked at 16M tons in 2022, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, preserved tomato production shrank modestly to $17B in 2023 estimated in export price. Overall, the total production indicated a tangible increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production decreased by +0.3% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 15%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum level at $17.2B in 2022, and then dropped in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2023 were China (2.2M tons), Italy (2M tons) and Russia (1.5M tons), with a combined 38% share of global production. The United States, India, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Spain, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Japan and Mexico lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Indonesia (with a CAGR of +7.3%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Preserved Tomatoes

In 2023, global preserved tomato imports fell to 1.6M tons, waning by -8.3% against 2022 figures. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 12%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 1.8M tons, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, preserved tomato imports soared to $2.2B in 2023. Overall, total imports indicated a resilient expansion from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, imports increased by +78.3% against 2016 indices. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The UK (310K tons) and Germany (238K tons) represented the main importers of preserved tomatoes in 2023, recording approx. 19% and 15% of total imports, respectively. France (120K tons) ranks next in terms of the total imports with a 7.4% share, followed by Japan (5.5%) and the Netherlands (4.8%). The following importers - Canada (66K tons), Belgium (60K tons), Australia (52K tons), Sweden (48K tons), Austria (41K tons), Poland (37K tons), the United States (28K tons) and Denmark (27K tons) - together made up 22% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Austria (with a CAGR of +10.5%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the UK ($390M), Germany ($329M) and France ($172M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, with a combined 41% share of global imports. Japan, the Netherlands, Canada, Australia, Belgium, Sweden, Austria, Poland, the United States and Denmark lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

Austria, with a CAGR of +14.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average preserved tomato import price stood at $1,351 per ton in 2023, jumping by 29% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a perceptible increase from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, preserved tomato import price increased by +65.7% against 2017 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in the United States ($1,598 per ton) and Denmark ($1,506 per ton), while Canada ($1,190 per ton) and the UK ($1,259 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Australia (+8.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Preserved Tomatoes

In 2023, the amount of preserved tomatoes exported worldwide shrank to 1.9M tons, with a decrease of -6.2% compared with 2022 figures. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when exports increased by 8.3%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 2M tons, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, preserved tomato exports soared to $2.4B in 2023. Overall, total exports indicated a prominent expansion from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +91.5% against 2016 indices. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Italy prevails in exports structure, accounting for 1.4M tons, which was near 74% of total exports in 2023. Spain (130K tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a 7% share, followed by the United States (4.6%). Greece (55K tons), the Netherlands (40K tons) and Portugal (37K tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

Exports from Italy increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2013 to 2023. At the same time, the Netherlands (+21.7%), Greece (+5.6%), Portugal (+5.0%) and the United States (+2.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, the Netherlands emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +21.7% from 2013-2023. By contrast, Spain (-1.3%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2023, the share of the Netherlands increased by +1.8 percentage points. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Italy ($1.8B) remains the largest preserved tomato supplier worldwide, comprising 75% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Spain ($129M), with a 5.3% share of global exports. It was followed by the United States, with a 3.1% share.

In Italy, preserved tomato exports expanded at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Spain (+1.6% per year) and the United States (+4.0% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average preserved tomato export price stood at $1,298 per ton in 2023, increasing by 29% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated tangible growth from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, preserved tomato export price increased by +70.6% against 2016 indices. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2023, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($1,604 per ton), while Portugal ($865 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Portugal (+4.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform