Global Compressors for Refrigeration Equipment Market to Grow at a CAGR of +2.5% from 2023 to 2030, Projected to Reach $39.5B by 2030

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The demand for compressors for refrigeration equipment is on the rise, driving market growth worldwide. Projections show a steady increase in volume and value over the next seven years, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of +2.5% and +4.2% expected for the period from 2023 to 2030. By the end of 2030, the market is predicted to reach 404 million units and $39.5 billion (in in nominal wholesale prices), signifying a positive outlook for the industry.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for compressors for refrigeration equipment worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 404M units by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.2% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $39.5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Compressors For Refrigeration Equipment

In 2023, the amount of compressors for refrigeration equipment consumed worldwide rose slightly to 341M units, growing by 1.7% compared with 2022. In general, the total consumption indicated notable growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +58.8% against 2014 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

The global refrigerator compressor market size totaled $29.7B in 2023, increasing by 4.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Consumption By Country

China (76M units) remains the largest refrigerator compressor consuming country worldwide, accounting for 22% of total volume. Moreover, refrigerator compressor consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (37M units), twofold. India (28M units) ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.1% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China totaled +6.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+0.9% per year) and India (+5.7% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($4.3B), China ($3B) and Japan ($1.7B) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together comprising 31% of the global market. India, Brazil, Mexico, Germany, Turkey, Italy, Indonesia, Russia, Spain and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 22%.

Thailand, with a CAGR of +6.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of refrigerator compressor per capita consumption in 2023 were Turkey (180 units per 1000 persons), Spain (151 units per 1000 persons) and Italy (121 units per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Thailand (with a CAGR of +9.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Compressors For Refrigeration Equipment

In 2023, global production of compressors for refrigeration equipment expanded modestly to 347M units, with an increase of 2.4% on 2022 figures. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 354M units in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, refrigerator compressor production amounted to $29.7B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 27%. Global production peaked in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Production By Country

China (204M units) constituted the country with the largest volume of refrigerator compressor production, accounting for 59% of total volume. Moreover, refrigerator compressor production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (21M units), tenfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Japan (20M units), with a 5.8% share.

In China, refrigerator compressor production increased at an average annual rate of +8.2% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+1.2% per year) and Japan (+1.1% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Compressors For Refrigeration Equipment

In 2023, the amount of compressors for refrigeration equipment imported worldwide contracted to 222M units, waning by -4.2% against the year before. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 23%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 237M units. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of global imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, refrigerator compressor imports shrank modestly to $16B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by 23%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure at $16.1B in 2022, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

Imports By Country

Mexico (26M units), the United States (22M units), Turkey (16M units), Thailand (13M units), India (11M units), Germany (9.9M units), Brazil (8.4M units), Spain (7.3M units), Italy (7.1M units), Indonesia (6.9M units), South Korea (6.8M units) and Russia (6.1M units) represented roughly 63% of total imports in 2023. Poland (5.9M units) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +11.8%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($2.7B), Mexico ($1.4B) and Germany ($1.3B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, with a combined 33% share of global imports. Turkey, South Korea, Italy, Thailand, Brazil, Poland, Spain, India, Russia and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

India, with a CAGR of +8.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average refrigerator compressor import price stood at $72 per unit in 2023, picking up by 4% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, saw a mild contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 when the average import price increased by 4.8%. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $83 per unit in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($132 per unit), while India ($27 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Poland (+6.1%), while the other global leaders experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.

Exports

World Exports of Compressors For Refrigeration Equipment

Global refrigerator compressor exports dropped slightly to 229M units in 2023, shrinking by -3.1% compared with 2022. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 24% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 252M units. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, refrigerator compressor exports declined modestly to $16.5B in 2023. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at $16.5B in 2022, and then reduced in the following year.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, amounting to 134M units, which was near 59% of total exports in 2023. Mexico (15M units) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Japan (12M units) and South Korea (11M units). All these countries together took approx. 16% share of total exports. The United States (6.2M units), Germany (6.2M units), Thailand (5.9M units), Brazil (5.2M units), Slovakia (4.7M units) and Poland (3.8M units) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to refrigerator compressor exports from China stood at +8.2%. At the same time, Mexico (+9.5%) and Germany (+4.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Mexico emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +9.5% from 2013-2023. Poland, South Korea and Japan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the United States (-1.7%), Slovakia (-6.8%), Brazil (-7.8%) and Thailand (-8.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of China (+25 p.p.) and Mexico (+3.2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2013-2023, the share of Japan (-1.5 p.p.), Slovakia (-3.1 p.p.), Brazil (-4.1 p.p.) and Thailand (-5.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($5.2B) remains the largest refrigerator compressor supplier worldwide, comprising 32% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Japan ($1.7B), with a 10% share of global exports. It was followed by Germany, with a 9.4% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China totaled +5.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (+0.6% per year) and Germany (+4.5% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average refrigerator compressor export price amounted to $72 per unit, surging by 2.9% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a slight contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the average export price increased by 8.2% against the previous year. The global export price peaked at $79 per unit in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2023, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($248 per unit), while China ($39 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Thailand (+5.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform