Worldwide Sails Market: Anticipated Surge in Market Volume to Reach 48K Tons and Market Value to $3B by 2030

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The article discusses the expected growth of the global sail market driven by rising demand, with projections indicating a CAGR of +2.6% in volume and +4.2% in value terms between 2023 and 2030. By the end of 2030, the market volume is predicted to reach 48K tons, with a market value of $3B in nominal prices.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sails worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.6% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 48K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.2% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $3B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sails

In 2023, the amount of sails consumed worldwide expanded significantly to 40K tons, growing by 5.9% against 2022 figures. Overall, the total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption decreased by -6.2% against 2021 indices. Global consumption peaked at 43K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global sails market revenue fell modestly to $2.2B in 2023, remaining constant against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated a measured expansion from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption decreased by -3.7% against 2021 indices. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level at $2.3B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (6.1K tons) remains the largest sails consuming country worldwide, accounting for 15% of total volume. Moreover, sails consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (2.5K tons), twofold. The United States (2K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 5% share.

In China, sails consumption increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: India (+4.7% per year) and the United States (+3.1% per year).

In value terms, the largest sails markets worldwide were Japan ($289M), China ($175M) and Germany ($165M), with a combined 28% share of the global market. Russia, Brazil, the United States, Indonesia, Mexico, France, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 20%.

Indonesia, with a CAGR of +7.6%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of sails per capita consumption in 2023 were Germany (13 kg per 1000 persons), France (12 kg per 1000 persons) and Russia (8.9 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +10.5%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Sails

In 2023, global production of sails expanded remarkably to 39K tons, picking up by 6% compared with the year before. Overall, the total production indicated a measured expansion from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production decreased by -5.2% against 2021 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 28%. Global production peaked at 41K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, sails production contracted to $2.4B in 2023 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated perceptible growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by 40%. Global production peaked at $2.5B in 2022, and then fell slightly in the following year.

Production By Country

China (6.4K tons) remains the largest sails producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 16% of total volume. Moreover, sails production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (2.5K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was held by Russia (1.3K tons), with a 3.3% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China amounted to +4.0%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+4.7% per year) and Russia (+1.3% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Sails

Global sails imports was estimated at 4.3K tons in 2023, leveling off at the year before. In general, total imports indicated perceptible growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, imports increased by +21.8% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 45% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 6K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2023, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, sails imports expanded sharply to $191M in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 18% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2023 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

The United States represented the key importing country with an import of about 1.7K tons, which amounted to 39% of total imports. France (465 tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with an 11% share, followed by Slovakia (7.7%), the UK (4.6%) and the Netherlands (4.5%). Germany (178 tons), Denmark (130 tons), Nigeria (95 tons), Spain (86 tons), Chile (75 tons), Australia (74 tons), Sweden (71 tons) and Italy (66 tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into the United States increased at an average annual rate of +16.7% from 2013 to 2023. At the same time, Nigeria (+1,105.1%), Slovakia (+80.4%), Chile (+22.3%), the Netherlands (+12.7%), Italy (+12.6%), France (+11.8%), Spain (+9.1%), Denmark (+8.1%), Sweden (+6.7%) and Germany (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Nigeria emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +1,105.1% from 2013-2023. Australia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the UK (-8.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2023, the share of the United States, Slovakia, France, the Netherlands, Nigeria and Italy increased by +29, +7.7, +6.5, +2.8, +2.2 and +1.5 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($35M), France ($21M) and Germany ($19M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together comprising 39% of global imports. Denmark, Spain, the Netherlands, Italy, Sweden, the UK, Australia, Slovakia, Chile and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

Nigeria, with a CAGR of +128.9%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average sails import price amounted to $44,837 per ton, rising by 7.7% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a slight increase from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, sails import price increased by +57.8% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the average import price increased by 73% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $49,187 per ton. From 2018 to 2023, the average import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($148,040 per ton), while Nigeria ($1,368 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Denmark (+8.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sails

For the third year in a row, the global market recorded growth in shipments abroad of sails, which increased by 0.4% to 3.4K tons in 2023. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 28% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, sails exports rose significantly to $247M in 2023. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +5.0% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of 18% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

In 2023, the Philippines (491 tons) and Sri Lanka (422 tons) were the major exporters of sailsin the world, together generating 27% of total exports. China (273 tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by France (254 tons), Tunisia (253 tons), South Africa (228 tons), the United States (180 tons) and Denmark (175 tons). All these countries together held approx. 40% share of total exports. Germany (139 tons), Slovakia (138 tons), the Netherlands (137 tons), New Zealand (112 tons) and Spain (80 tons) took a little share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Slovakia (with a CAGR of +40.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Sri Lanka ($47M), Denmark ($30M) and Germany ($24M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, together comprising 41% of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, Germany, with a CAGR of +25.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average sails export price stood at $72,679 per ton in 2023, growing by 8.3% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.4%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the average export price increased by 16% against the previous year. The global export price peaked at $75,705 per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2023, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Denmark ($172,027 per ton), while the Philippines ($7,242 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+9.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform