
Brazil - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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View PricingSevere Drought Forces Volcafe to Slash Brazil's Arabica Coffee Production Outlook
Volcafe Ltd., one of the world's leading coffee traders, has significantly cut its forecast for Brazil's arabica coffee production after extensive crop analysis. The adjustment follows an appraisal by Bloomberg News highlighting the damaging impacts of a prolonged drought. Brazil is now expected to produce merely 34.4 million bags of arabica beans in the upcoming season, a reduction of about 11 million bags from estimates made in September.
This considerable decrease foreshadows a global coffee production deficit, with shortfalls projected at 8.5 million bags for the 2025/26 season. This situation has become critical as it will mark the fifth consecutive year of production falling behind demand, potentially disrupting global supply chains and market equilibrium. The unfavorable conditions in Brazil were evidenced by high rates of blossom failure across 1,850 sampled farms, with adverse weather being cited as a key factor.
In terms of trade statistics, as reported by IndexBox, Brazil's export value for green coffee was approximately USD 7.3 billion in 2023. The United States stood as the largest destination with exports valued at USD 1.2 billion, followed by Germany at USD 1.1 billion, Italy at USD 695.9 million, Belgium at USD 482.3 million, and Japan at USD 456.9 million. These figures reflect Brazil's substantial role in the global coffee trade, despite recent production challenges.
Arabica coffee futures have experienced a significant surge, reaching levels not seen since 1977. This is attributed to concerns over the ongoing drought and its impact on Brazil's output. Producers and traders alike are warily watching Brazil's market, as future pricing structures remain uncertain without the expected surplus from the world's leading coffee grower.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the green coffee market in Brazil. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- FCL 656 - Coffee green
Country coverage:
- Brazil
Data coverage:
- Market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Trade (exports and imports) in Brazil
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET STRUCTURE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- TRADE BALANCE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2035
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
- MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORTS
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export
- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
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7. PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
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8. IMPORTS
The Largest Import Supplying Countries
- IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
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9. EXPORTS
The Largest Destinations for Exports
- EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2024
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012-2024
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
- Exports Prices, By Country, 2012-2024
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Trade Balance, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Trade Balance, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Volume Forecast to 2035
- Market Value Forecast to 2035
- Market Size and Growth, by Product
- Average Per Capita Consumption, by Product
- Exports and Growth, by Product
- Export Prices and Growth, by Product
- Production Volume and Growth
- Yield and Growth
- Exports and Growth
- Export Prices and Growth
- Market Size and Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports and Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Harvested Area: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Yield: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
- Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
- Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
- Import Prices, by Country, 2012-2024
- Exports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
- Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
- Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
- Export Prices, by Country, 2012-2024