Global Sugar Ethers and Salts Market to Reach $8.5B by 2030, with 5.1% CAGR Growth

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Sugars, Sugar Ethers And Salts - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global market for sugars, sugar ethers, and salts is predicted to experience continued growth over the next seven years due to rising demand. Market performance is expected to expand with a CAGR of +2.8% in volume, reaching 1.2M tons by 2030. In terms of value, the market is forecasted to increase with a CAGR of +5.1%, reaching $8.5B by the end of 2030.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sugars, sugar ethers and salts worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.2M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.1% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $8.5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sugars, Sugar Ethers And Salts

In 2023, approx. 1M tons of sugars, sugar ethers and salts were consumed worldwide; growing by 2.6% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated resilient growth from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +66.0% against 2013 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

The global sugars market size rose significantly to $6B in 2023, picking up by 6.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, the total consumption indicated a resilient increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, consumption increased by +4.3% against 2019 indices. Over the period under review, the global market reached the maximum level in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (195K tons), the United States (128K tons) and India (91K tons), together accounting for 41% of global consumption.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +14.6%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sugars markets worldwide were India ($1.1B), the United States ($969M) and China ($556M), together accounting for 45% of the global market. The UK, France, Turkey, Japan, Spain, Poland and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 12%.

The UK, with a CAGR of +24.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of sugars per capita consumption in 2023 were Poland (538 kg per 1000 persons), the UK (509 kg per 1000 persons) and Spain (467 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of +13.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Sugars, Sugar Ethers And Salts

In 2023, the amount of sugars, sugar ethers and salts produced worldwide expanded modestly to 964K tons, growing by 1.7% against 2022. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 11% against the previous year. Global production peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, sugars production expanded rapidly to $5.5B in 2023 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a strong expansion from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production decreased by -1.3% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 22%. Global production peaked at $5.6B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

China (268K tons) remains the largest sugars producing country worldwide, accounting for 28% of total volume. Moreover, sugars production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (110K tons), twofold. Germany (102K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with an 11% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China totaled +6.4%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+24.8% per year) and Germany (+0.6% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Sugars, Sugar Ethers And Salts

Global sugars imports rose to 392K tons in 2023, with an increase of 1.7% on the year before. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 15%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the maximum in 2023 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, sugars imports declined modestly to $1.6B in 2023. In general, total imports indicated noticeable growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, imports increased by +79.8% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 22%. Global imports peaked at $1.6B in 2022, and then shrank modestly in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2023, Japan (63K tons), followed by the United States (35K tons), Spain (24K tons), Poland (21K tons), the Netherlands (19K tons) and Belgium (19K tons) represented the major importers of sugars, sugar ethers and salts, together comprising 46% of total imports. The following importers - Italy (17K tons), Finland (16K tons), India (12K tons) and Switzerland (11K tons) - together made up 15% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Switzerland (with a CAGR of +19.2%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($222M) constitutes the largest market for imported sugars, sugar ethers and salts worldwide, comprising 14% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Japan ($109M), with a 7% share of global imports. It was followed by the Netherlands, with a 5.9% share.

In the United States, sugars imports expanded at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (+1.1% per year) and the Netherlands (+13.5% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average sugars import price amounted to $3,967 per ton, which is down by -3.4% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.6%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 18% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $4,177 per ton in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($7,019 per ton), while Japan ($1,741 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+6.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sugars, Sugar Ethers And Salts

In 2023, shipments abroad of sugars, sugar ethers and salts decreased by -0.9% to 351K tons for the first time since 2020, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 354K tons in 2022, and then reduced in the following year.

In value terms, sugars exports rose slightly to $1.6B in 2023. Overall, exports, however, showed a strong increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 23% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Germany (102K tons) and China (82K tons) were the largest exporters of sugars, sugar ethers and salts in 2023, amounting to near 29% and 23% of total exports, respectively. It was distantly followed by Thailand (29K tons), France (24K tons), Austria (23K tons), the United States (18K tons) and Indonesia (16K tons), together constituting a 31% share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +12.3%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($300M), China ($236M) and the United States ($149M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, with a combined 43% share of global exports.

Among the main exporting countries, China, with a CAGR of +13.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average sugars export price stood at $4,568 per ton in 2023, growing by 5.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated measured growth from 2013 to 2023: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, sugars export price increased by +77.9% against 2016 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the average export price increased by 21% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($8,503 per ton), while Indonesia ($1,053 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+5.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform