Global Sweet Biscuits Market to Reach $80.4B by 2030 with +2.1% CAGR

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Sweet Biscuits Without Chocolate - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global sweet biscuits market is set to experience significant growth in the coming years, with a forecasted CAGR of +2.1% in volume and +4.1% in value from 2023 to 2030. This growth is fueled by rising demand for sweet biscuits across the globe.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sweet biscuits worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.1% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 22M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.1% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $80.4B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sweet Biscuits

For the third consecutive year, the global market recorded decline in consumption of sweet biscuits, which decreased by -0.2% to 19M tons in 2023. In general, consumption, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 4.4% against the previous year. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume of 20M tons. From 2021 to 2023, the growth of the global consumption failed to regain momentum.

The global sweet biscuit market revenue was estimated at $60.6B in 2023, approximately equating the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the market value increased by 7.4%. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (3.9M tons), the United States (2.4M tons) and India (1.4M tons), with a combined 40% share of global consumption.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by China (with a CAGR of +4.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($13B), the United States ($10.3B) and Japan ($7.5B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, with a combined 51% share of the global market.

Among the main consuming countries, China, with a CAGR of +6.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of sweet biscuit per capita consumption in 2023 were the United States (7 kg per person), France (4.8 kg per person) and Japan (4.7 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by China (with a CAGR of +3.8%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Sweet Biscuits

In 2023, global production of sweet biscuits reduced to 19M tons, approximately reflecting 2022. Overall, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 4%. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 19M tons. From 2021 to 2023, global production growth failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, sweet biscuit production amounted to $61.6B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 with an increase of 8%. Global production peaked in 2023 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of sweet biscuit production was China (3.9M tons), accounting for 20% of total volume. Moreover, sweet biscuit production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (1.7M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (1.6M tons), with an 8.6% share.

In China, sweet biscuit production expanded at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (-2.9% per year) and India (+2.7% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Sweet Biscuits

In 2023, the amount of sweet biscuits imported worldwide expanded to 3.6M tons, growing by 3.4% against the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when imports increased by 5.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2023 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

In value terms, sweet biscuit imports expanded notably to $11.5B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

In 2023, the United States (679K tons), distantly followed by the UK (177K tons), France (176K tons) and Germany (161K tons) were the largest importers of sweet biscuits, together comprising 34% of total imports. The following importers - the Netherlands (107K tons), Iraq (98K tons), Belgium (98K tons), Canada (72K tons), Yemen (61K tons), Italy (60K tons), Spain (60K tons), Portugal (59K tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (55K tons) - together made up 19% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to sweet biscuit imports into the United States stood at +8.6%. At the same time, Democratic Republic of the Congo (+14.5%), the UK (+3.8%), Belgium (+3.7%), Italy (+3.7%), Canada (+3.2%), Portugal (+2.6%), Germany (+2.5%) and Spain (+2.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Democratic Republic of the Congo emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +14.5% from 2013-2023. The Netherlands, France, Yemen and Iraq experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. While the share of the United States (+8.1 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2013-2023, the share of France (-1.7 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($2.2B) constitutes the largest market for imported sweet biscuits worldwide, comprising 19% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by the UK ($727M), with a 6.3% share of global imports. It was followed by Germany, with a 5.8% share.

In the United States, sweet biscuit imports increased at an average annual rate of +8.0% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the UK (+4.7% per year) and Germany (+3.4% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average sweet biscuit import price stood at $3,228 per ton in 2023, picking up by 11% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($4,522 per ton), while Yemen ($1,402 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+5.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sweet Biscuits

For the eighth consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in overseas shipments of sweet biscuits, which increased by 2.2% to 3.6M tons in 2023. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 13%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure in 2023 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, sweet biscuit exports soared to $11.8B in 2023. Overall, total exports indicated a moderate increase from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +42.7% against 2018 indices. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2023, Mexico (452K tons), followed by the Netherlands (283K tons), India (262K tons), Germany (226K tons), Belgium (186K tons) and Turkey (173K tons) were the major exporters of sweet biscuits, together achieving 44% of total exports. Spain (154K tons), Indonesia (133K tons), Poland (114K tons), the Czech Republic (111K tons), Italy (108K tons), Canada (101K tons) and Russia (95K tons) took a relatively small share of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Mexico (with a CAGR of +11.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sweet biscuit supplying countries worldwide were Mexico ($1.2B), the Netherlands ($1.2B) and Germany ($1.1B), with a combined 29% share of global exports.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Mexico, with a CAGR of +13.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average sweet biscuit export price stood at $3,281 per ton in 2023, growing by 13% against the previous year. Overall, the export price saw slight growth. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($5,459 per ton), while India ($1,240 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+3.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform