U.S. - Cereal Grains - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Report Update: May 1, 2025

U.S. - Cereal Grains - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Grain Prices in the United States

U.S. Grain Export Price per Ton in July 2022

In July 2022, the grain price per ton stood at $364.5 (FOB, US), declining by -2% against the previous month. Over the period from January 2022 to July 2022, it increased at an average monthly rate of +3.4%. The growth pace was the most rapid in April 2022 when the average export price increased by 6.4% month-to-month. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum at $372.1 per ton in June 2022, and then fell slightly in the following month.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major foreign markets. In July 2022, the country with the highest price was China ($1.4K per ton), while the average price for exports to Kuwait ($225.0 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From January 2022 to July 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Bolivia (+613.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Grain Export Prices by Type

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was other cereals ($3.7K per ton), while the average price for exports of barley ($263.0 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for the following types: rye (+14.4%), while the prices for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Grain Exports

In August 2022, overseas shipments of cereal grains decreased by -5.9% to 6.2M tons, falling for the fifth consecutive month after three months of growth. Over the period under review, exports showed a noticeable slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in February 2022 with an increase of 15% against the previous month.

In value terms, grain exports reduced to $2.3B (IndexBox estimates) in August 2022. Overall, exports recorded a slight curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in February 2022 with an increase of 20% against the previous month.

U.S. Grain Exports by Type

Maize (3.3M tons), wheat (2.5M tons) and sorghum (286K tons) were the main products of grain exports from the United States, together comprising 98% of total exports. Paddy rice, barley, oats, millet, other cereals, quinoa, rye, canary seed, buckwheat and triticale lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 1.5%.

From January 2022 to August 2022, the biggest increases were in triticale (with a CAGR of +39.8%), while shipments for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the most traded types of cereal grains in the United States were maize ($1.1B), wheat ($1B) and sorghum ($91M), with a combined 98% share of total exports. Paddy rice, other cereals, millet, barley, oats, quinoa, rye, canary seed, buckwheat and triticale lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 1.9%.

Triticale, with a CAGR of +52.5%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main product categories over the period under review, while shipments for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

U.S. Grain Exports by Country

Canada (5.7K tons) was the main destination for grain exports from the United States, with a 0.1% share of total exports. Moreover, grain exports to Canada exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Mexico (374 tons), more than tenfold. Taiwan (Chinese) (153 tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with less than 0.1% share.

From January 2022 to July 2022, the average monthly rate of growth in terms of volume to Canada amounted to -56.7%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average monthly rates of exports growth: Mexico (-78.9% per month) and Taiwan (Chinese) (-65.8% per month).

In value terms, Canada ($2.5M) emerged as the key foreign market for grain exports from the United States, comprising 0.1% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Mexico ($100K), with less than 0.1% share of total exports. It was followed by Taiwan (Chinese), with less than 0.1% share.

From January 2022 to July 2022, the average monthly growth rate of value to Canada stood at -50.9%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average monthly rates of exports growth: Mexico (-76.2% per month) and Taiwan (Chinese) (-68.2% per month).

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the grain market in the U.S.. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 108 - Cereals, nes
  • FCL 103 - Mixed grain
  • FCL 92 - Quinoa
  • FCL 15 - Wheat
  • FCL 71 - Rye
  • FCL 44 - Barley
  • FCL 75 - Oats
  • FCL 56 - Maize
  • FCL 27 - Rice, paddy
  • FCL 83 - Sorghum
  • FCL 89 - Buckwheat
  • FCL 101 - Canary seed
  • FCL 94 - Fonio
  • FCL 97 - Triticale
  • FCL 79 - Millet

Country coverage:

  • United States

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Trade (exports and imports) in the U.S.
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO
  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    3. TRADE BALANCE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2035
  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORTS
  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export

    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2024
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    3. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    4. Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
    7. Import Prices, By Country, 2012-2024
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012-2024
    10. Exports Prices, By Country, 2012-2024
  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    2. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply Vs. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    5. Trade Balance, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    6. Trade Balance, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    7. Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2035
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2035
    10. Market Size and Growth, by Product
    11. Average Per Capita Consumption, by Product
    12. Exports and Growth, by Product
    13. Export Prices and Growth, by Product
    14. Production Volume and Growth
    15. Yield and Growth
    16. Exports and Growth
    17. Export Prices and Growth
    18. Market Size and Growth
    19. Per Capita Consumption
    20. Imports and Growth
    21. Import Prices
    22. Production, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    23. Production, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    24. Harvested Area: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    25. Yield: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    26. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    27. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    28. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
    29. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
    30. Imports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
    31. Import Prices, by Country, 2012-2024
    32. Exports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    33. Exports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
    34. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2024
    35. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
    36. Exports, in Value Terms, by Country, 2012-2024
    37. Export Prices, by Country, 2012-2024
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Free Data: Grain - United States