Netherlands: Tobacco Market 2025

Tobacco Market Size in the Netherlands

In 2021, the Dutch tobacco market decreased by -19.6% to $X, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. Over the period under review, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2017 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Tobacco Production in the Netherlands

In value terms, tobacco production declined sharply to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a abrupt decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 51% against the previous year. Tobacco production peaked at $X in 2020, and then dropped notably in the following year.

Tobacco Exports

Exports from the Netherlands

In 2021, overseas shipments of tobacco (smoking tobacco, chewing tobacco, snuff) increased by 5.1% to X tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by 169% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, tobacco exports rose notably to $X in 2021. Overall, exports saw a pronounced increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when exports increased by 69%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2021 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

Belgium (X tons), Turkey (X tons) and Germany (X tons) were the main destinations of tobacco exports from the Netherlands, together comprising 33% of total exports. These countries were followed by Ukraine, Portugal, Poland, Lithuania, France, the UK, Taiwan (Chinese), Spain, Serbia and Italy, which together accounted for a further 47%.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Taiwan (Chinese) (with a CAGR of +173.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($X) remains the key foreign market for tobacco (smoking tobacco, chewing tobacco, snuff) exports from the Netherlands, comprising 24% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by France ($X), with a 7.9% share of total exports. It was followed by Turkey, with a 5.9% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to Germany amounted to +6.3%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: France (-3.6% per year) and Turkey (+4.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average tobacco export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, approximately equating the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate notable growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when the average export price increased by 35% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Poland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Germany (+13.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Tobacco Imports

Imports into the Netherlands

Tobacco imports into the Netherlands reduced sharply to X tons in 2021, waning by -15% compared with the previous year. Overall, imports recorded a drastic downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 54%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, tobacco imports contracted to $X in 2021. In general, imports recorded a perceptible downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when imports increased by 47%. Imports peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Germany (X tons), Romania (X tons) and Poland (X tons) were the main suppliers of tobacco imports to the Netherlands, with a combined 63% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for Romania (with a CAGR of +130.5%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest tobacco suppliers to the Netherlands were Germany ($X), Romania ($X) and Poland ($X), together comprising 75% of total imports.

Among the main suppliers, Romania, with a CAGR of +111.8%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average tobacco import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, picking up by 11% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +6.2% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 an increase of 22% against the previous year. The import price peaked in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Ireland ($X per ton), while the price for Malaysia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ireland (+11.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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