Africa: Market for Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers 2024

Market Size for Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers in Africa

The African market for carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers skyrocketed to $X in 2022, rising by 33% against the previous year. In general, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers in Africa

In value terms, production of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers rose modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production of reached the maximum level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Exports of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers

Exports in Africa

In 2022, shipments abroad of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers decreased by -41.2% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. Over the period under review, exports, however, enjoyed mild growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when exports increased by 66%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, exports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers declined remarkably to $X in 2022. In general, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when exports increased by 75% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports of attained the peak figure at $X in 2021, and then shrank rapidly in the following year.

Exports by Country

South Africa represented the largest exporting country with an export of around X tons, which finished at 51% of total exports. Mauritania (X tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Morocco (X tons). All these countries together took near 33% share of total exports. Egypt (X tons), Tanzania (X tons), Togo (X tons) and Zimbabwe (X tons) took a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers exports from South Africa stood at +2.8%. At the same time, Morocco (+66.6%), Togo (+46.8%), Egypt (+39.4%) and Mauritania (+13.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Morocco emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +66.6% from 2012-2022. Zimbabwe experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Tanzania (-2.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Morocco, Mauritania, South Africa, Egypt and Togo increased by +16, +12, +7.2, +4.1 and +2.3 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers supplier in Africa, comprising 58% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Morocco ($X), with a 22% share of total exports. It was followed by Mauritania, with an 8.7% share.

In South Africa, exports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers expanded at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Morocco (+65.9% per year) and Mauritania (+4.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 28% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, continues to indicate a slight curtailment. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Togo ($X per ton), while Egypt ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Morocco (-0.4%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Imports of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers

Imports in Africa

In 2022, the amount of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers imported in Africa amounted to X tons, with an increase of 2.9% on the previous year's figure. Overall, imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 34% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, imports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers expanded rapidly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, recorded a slight decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 36% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports of hit record highs at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

The countries with the highest levels of imports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers in 2022 were South Africa (X tons), Swaziland (X tons) and Ghana (X tons), together resulting at 60% of total import. Zambia (X tons) ranks next in terms of the total imports with a 6.9% share, followed by Kenya (6.7%). Tunisia (X tons), Morocco (X tons), Zimbabwe (X tons), Nigeria (X tons) and Mali (X tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Swaziland (with a CAGR of +58.5%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers in Africa, comprising 33% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Swaziland ($X), with a 14% share of total imports. It was followed by Nigeria, with a 7.9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in South Africa totaled +13.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Swaziland (+48.3% per year) and Nigeria (+21.4% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, rising by 7.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, saw a mild descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the import price increased by 13% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($X per ton), while Ghana ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (+10.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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