Africa: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Africa

The African grain market rose slightly to $X in 2022, picking up by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the near future.

Grain Production in Africa

In value terms, grain production expanded modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of X%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Ethiopia (X tons), Nigeria (X tons) and Egypt (X tons), with a combined X% share of total production. South Africa, Tanzania, Mali, Morocco, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Sudan, Niger, Madagascar and Guinea lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Ghana (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The average grain yield contracted slightly to X tons per ha in 2022, flattening at the previous year's figure. Overall, the yield, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2021, and then fell in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of grain production in Africa reduced slightly to X ha, leveling off at the year before. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the harvested area increased by X%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Grain Exports

Exports in Africa

In 2022, shipments abroad of grain increased by X% to X tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, exports recorded tangible growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, grain exports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports posted a tangible expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

In 2022, South Africa (X tons) represented the largest exporter of grain, creating X% of total exports. Tanzania (X tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Zambia (X tons). All these countries together took near X% share of total exports. Uganda (X tons) and Cote d'Ivoire (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from South Africa increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Cote d'Ivoire (X%) and Tanzania (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Cote d'Ivoire emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. Uganda experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Zambia (X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Africa (X p.p.) and Tanzania (X p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Zambia (X p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest grain supplier in Africa, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Zambia ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in South Africa totaled X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Zambia (X% per year) and Tanzania (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Africa stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by X% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Zambia ($X per ton), while Cote d'Ivoire ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Cote d'Ivoire (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports in Africa

In 2022, imports of grain in Africa stood at X tons, picking up by X% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

In value terms, grain imports rose sharply to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Algeria (X tons) and Egypt (X tons) were the largest importers of grain in 2022, resulting at near X% and X% of total imports, respectively. It was distantly followed by Morocco (X tons), Libya (X tons) and Tunisia (X tons), together committing a X% share of total imports. Sudan (X tons), Kenya (X tons), Nigeria (X tons), South Africa (X tons), Ethiopia (X tons) and Senegal (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Kenya (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Egypt ($X), Algeria ($X) and Morocco ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising X% of total imports. Nigeria, Tunisia, Kenya, Ethiopia, Libya, Sudan, South Africa and Senegal lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

Ethiopia, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, surging by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($X per ton), while Libya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ethiopia (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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