Africa: Grape Must Market 2024

Grape Must Market Size in Africa

The African grape must market contracted modestly to $X in 2021, which is down by -4.1% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption decreased by -12.6% against 2018 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Grape Must Production in Africa

In value terms, grape must production fell to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, production decreased by -14.8% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 37%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2021, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Grape Must Exports

Exports in Africa

Grape must exports soared to X litres in 2021, rising by 21% on the previous year's figure. In general, exports showed buoyant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by 140%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X litres in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grape must exports surged to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports saw a prominent increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by 122%. The level of export peaked at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

South Africa dominates exports structure, accounting for X litres, which was near 88% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Swaziland (X litres), comprising a 6.3% share of total exports. Ethiopia (X litres) took a relatively small share of total exports.

Exports from South Africa increased at an average annual rate of +19.1% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Swaziland (+19.4%) and Ethiopia (+5.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Swaziland emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +19.4% from 2012-2021. From 2012 to 2021, the share of South Africa and Swaziland increased by +46 and +3.4 percentage points, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest grape must supplier in Africa, comprising 93% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Ethiopia ($X), with a 2.5% share of total exports.

In South Africa, grape must exports expanded at an average annual rate of +17.9% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Ethiopia (+0.4% per year) and Swaziland (+6.7% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Africa stood at $X per litre in 2021, growing by 3.9% against the previous year. Export price indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, grape must export price decreased by -36.5% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the export price increased by 81% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per litre. From 2019 to 2021, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Ethiopia ($X per litre), while Swaziland ($X per litre) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (-1.0%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Grape Must Imports

Imports in Africa

Grape must imports soared to X litres in 2021, increasing by 24% against 2020 figures. Overall, imports recorded a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 209% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X litres in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grape must imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. In general, imports recorded a remarkable increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 296%. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Nigeria (X litres) and Algeria (X litres) dominates imports structure, together creating 85% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Cabo Verde (X litres), generating a 4.7% share of total imports. Togo (X litres) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for Algeria (with a CAGR of +65.8%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Nigeria ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported grape must in Africa, comprising 60% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Algeria ($X), with a 19% share of total imports. It was followed by Togo, with a 1.8% share.

In Nigeria, grape must imports expanded at an average annual rate of +57.4% over the period from 2012-2021. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Algeria (+30.7% per year) and Togo (+0.8% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Africa amounted to $X per litre, remaining stable against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, recorded a perceptible descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 an increase of 41%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per litre. From 2015 to 2021, the import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($X per litre), while Cabo Verde ($X per litre) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (-0.0%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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