Africa: Oat Market 2024

Oat Market Size in Africa

The African oat market fell to $X in 2022, with a decrease of -14.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption continues to indicate a noticeable contraction. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Oat Production in Africa

In value terms, oat production expanded modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a noticeable shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the production volume increased by 55% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2017 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were South Africa (X tons), Algeria (X tons) and Ethiopia (X tons), together accounting for 87% of total production. Uganda, Morocco and Kenya lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 10%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uganda (with a CAGR of +2.3%), while production for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the production figures.

The average oat yield stood at X tons per ha in 2022, surging by 1.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the yield recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the yield increased by 64%. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the oat yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The oat harvested area totaled X ha in 2022, surging by 1.7% on the year before. In general, the harvested area, however, recorded a noticeable descent. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 10% against the previous year. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Oat Exports

Exports in Africa

In 2022, exports of oats in Africa rose sharply to X tons, picking up by 10% on 2021 figures. Overall, exports continue to indicate a remarkable increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 149%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, oat exports fell dramatically to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports saw buoyant growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 112% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Uganda was the largest exporting country with an export of around X tons, which resulted at 70% of total exports. South Africa (X tons) took a 21% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Egypt (5.9%). Ethiopia (X tons) took a little share of total exports.

Exports from Uganda increased at an average annual rate of +22.3% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Egypt (+241.6%), Ethiopia (+5.0%) and South Africa (+3.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Egypt emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +241.6% from 2012-2022. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Uganda and Egypt increased by +36 and +5.9 percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, the largest oat supplying countries in Africa were South Africa ($X), Uganda ($X) and Egypt ($X), together accounting for 98% of total exports.

Egypt, with a CAGR of +185.2%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Africa stood at $X per ton in 2022, reducing by -28% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a perceptible shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the export price increased by 40% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while Egypt ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uganda (+1.3%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Oat Imports

Imports in Africa

In 2022, supplies from abroad of oats decreased by -76.2% to X tons, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Over the period under review, imports recorded a pronounced descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 152% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, oat imports contracted notably to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 87% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Nigeria (X tons), distantly followed by South Sudan (X tons), Algeria (X tons), Namibia (X tons), Libya (X tons), Morocco (X tons) and Ghana (X tons) represented the major importers of oats, together achieving 82% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +42.1%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Nigeria ($X), Namibia ($X) and South Sudan ($X) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for 64% of total imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, Nigeria, with a CAGR of +42.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, growing by 115% against the previous year. In general, the import price continues to indicate a remarkable increase. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Namibia ($X per ton), while Libya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Sudan (+13.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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