Belarus: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Belarus

The Belarusian flaked or rolled cereal market surged to $X in 2022, increasing by 47% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption recorded a strong expansion. As a result, consumption reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Belarus

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production expanded notably to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production saw a strong expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 73% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports from Belarus

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of flaked or rolled cereals decreased by -74.3% to X tons in 2022. In general, exports showed a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when exports increased by 88%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2017 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports contracted sharply to $X in 2022. Overall, exports saw a abrupt decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 80% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2021, and then dropped dramatically in the following year.

Exports by Country

Ukraine (X tons) was the main destination for flaked or rolled cereal exports from Belarus, accounting for a 85% share of total exports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal exports to Ukraine exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Russia (X tons), sevenfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Ukraine amounted to +13.5%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Russia (-25.5% per year) and Serbia (-1.9% per year).

In value terms, Ukraine ($X) remains the key foreign market for flaked or rolled cereals exports from Belarus, comprising 81% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Russia ($X), with a 15% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Ukraine amounted to +11.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Russia (-21.6% per year) and Serbia (-3.0% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average flaked or rolled cereal export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 53% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated pronounced growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Russia ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Serbia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Russia (+5.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports into Belarus

In 2022, supplies from abroad of flaked or rolled cereals was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2017, thus ending a four-year declining trend. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a pronounced curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 266%. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports expanded slightly to $X in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a noticeable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports decreased by -3.8% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when imports increased by 73% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the main flaked or rolled cereal supplier to Belarus, accounting for a 97% share of total imports. It was followed by Ukraine (X tons), with a 2.7% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia totaled +8.1%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of flaked or rolled cereals to Belarus, comprising 98% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Ukraine ($X), with a 0.9% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Russia amounted to +13.9%.

Import Prices by Country

The average flaked or rolled cereal import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year. In general, the import price showed a prominent increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 an increase of 78% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Russia ($X per ton), while the price for Ukraine stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Russia (+5.3%).

Source: IndexBox Platform

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