Belarus: Uncooked Pasta Market 2024

Uncooked Pasta Market Size in Belarus

In 2021, the Belarusian uncooked pasta market decreased by -0.8% to $X, falling for the second year in a row after four years of growth. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a buoyant expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption decreased by -3.3% against 2019 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Uncooked Pasta Production in Belarus

In value terms, uncooked pasta production rose markedly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw tangible growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 32%. Uncooked pasta production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, production remained at a lower figure.

Uncooked Pasta Exports

Exports from Belarus

In 2021, shipments abroad of uncooked pasta decreased by -13.2% to X tons, falling for the eighth consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, exports continue to indicate a abrupt downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when exports increased by 157%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2014 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta exports surged to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports saw a deep setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 165% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2014 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Russia (X tons), Georgia (X tons) and Ukraine (X tons) were the main destinations of uncooked pasta exports from Belarus, together comprising 96% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for Georgia (with a CAGR of +6.2%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the key foreign market for uncooked pasta exports from Belarus, comprising 55% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Ukraine ($X), with a 23% share of total exports. It was followed by Georgia, with a 16% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to Russia stood at -14.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Ukraine (-8.4% per year) and Georgia (+3.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average uncooked pasta export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, surging by 56% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.6% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, uncooked pasta export price increased by +107.5% against 2016 indices. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably country of destination: the country with the highest price was Ukraine ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Georgia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Venezuela (+23.1%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Uncooked Pasta Imports

Imports into Belarus

In 2021, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in purchases abroad of uncooked pasta, when their volume decreased by -10.7% to X tons. Overall, total imports indicated a noticeable increase from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 38%. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at X tons in 2020, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, uncooked pasta imports amounted to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, imports, however, showed resilient growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 61% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2021 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Russia (X tons) constituted the largest uncooked pasta supplier to Belarus, accounting for a 69% share of total imports. Moreover, uncooked pasta imports from Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Italy (X tons), threefold.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia amounted to +1.5%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (+14.0% per year) and Poland (+59.0% per year).

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of uncooked pasta to Belarus, comprising 67% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Italy ($X), with a 24% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value from Russia totaled +5.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (+10.5% per year) and Poland (+46.9% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average uncooked pasta import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, with an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the last nine-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.0%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 an increase of 21% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in the near future.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Italy ($X per ton), while the price for Poland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Russia (+4.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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