Brazil: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Brazil

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in the Brazilian grain market, when its value decreased by X% to $X. Over the period under review, consumption saw a slight setback. Grain consumption peaked at $X in 2021, and then reduced dramatically in the following year.

Grain Production in Brazil

In value terms, grain production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a slight slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of cereal grains in Brazil rose remarkably to X tons per ha in 2022, increasing by X% against 2021. In general, the yield recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the yield increased by X%. Over the period under review, the average grain yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the harvested area of cereal grains in Brazil reduced slightly to X ha, shrinking by X% against 2021. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The grain harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year.

Grain Exports

Exports from Brazil

In 2022, shipments abroad of cereal grains was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate prominent growth. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, grain exports surged to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed a remarkable increase. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Iran (X tons), Spain (X tons) and Japan (X tons) were the main destinations of grain exports from Brazil, together comprising X% of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for grain exported from Brazil were Iran ($X), Spain ($X) and Japan ($X), together comprising X% of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

Among the main countries of destination, Vietnam, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major foreign markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the highest price was recorded for prices to Iran ($X per ton) and Mexico ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Italy ($X per ton) and Taiwan (Chinese) ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports into Brazil

Grain imports into Brazil declined to X tons in 2022, shrinking by X% compared with the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when imports increased by X%. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2017 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grain imports expanded remarkably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated notable growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

Argentina (X tons), Paraguay (X tons) and the United States (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Brazil, with a combined X% share of total imports. Russia and Uruguay lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Russia (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Argentina ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cereal grains to Brazil, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Paraguay ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by the United States, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Argentina totaled X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Paraguay (X% per year) and the United States (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average grain import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a noticeable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Paraguay ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Argentina (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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