Brazil: Cereal Market 2025

Cereal Market Size in Brazil

In 2022, the Brazilian cereal market decreased by X% to $X for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Overall, consumption saw a mild reduction. Cereal consumption peaked at $X in 2021, and then reduced notably in the following year.

Cereal Production in Brazil

In value terms, cereal production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, showed a slight reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by X%. Cereal production peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average yield of cereals in Brazil amounted to X tons per ha, increasing by X% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the yield increased by X%. The cereal yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of cereals production in Brazil shrank slightly to X ha, with a decrease of X% on the previous year. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to cereal production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2021, and then fell slightly in the following year.

Cereal Exports

Exports from Brazil

In 2022, shipments abroad of cereals was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Over the period under review, exports showed a prominent increase. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, cereal exports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, exports enjoyed a buoyant increase. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Iran (X tons), Spain (X tons) and Japan (X tons) were the main destinations of cereal exports from Brazil, together comprising X% of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for cereal exported from Brazil were Iran ($X), Spain ($X) and Japan ($X), with a combined X% share of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

Vietnam, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average cereal export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by X% against the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the highest price was recorded for prices to Iran ($X per ton) and Mexico ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Italy ($X per ton) and Taiwan (Chinese) ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Cereal Imports

Imports into Brazil

In 2022, imports of cereals into Brazil declined to X tons, shrinking by X% compared with 2021 figures. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2017 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cereal imports amounted to $X in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a measured expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when imports increased by X%. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Argentina (X tons), Paraguay (X tons) and the United States (X tons) were the main suppliers of cereal imports to Brazil, together accounting for X% of total imports. Russia and Uruguay lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Argentina ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cereals to Brazil, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Paraguay ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by the United States, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Argentina totaled X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Paraguay (X% per year) and the United States (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average cereal import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cereal import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Paraguay ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Argentina (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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