Brazil: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Brazil

In 2022, the Brazilian grain market decreased by X% to $X for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Over the period under review, consumption recorded a mild downturn. Grain consumption peaked at $X in 2021, and then shrank notably in the following year.

Grain Production in Brazil

In value terms, grain production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw a slight downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Grain production peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average grain yield in Brazil expanded notably to X tons per ha, with an increase of X% against 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the yield increased by X%. The grain yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of grain were harvested in Brazil; reducing by X% on 2021 figures. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The grain harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

Grain Exports

Exports from Brazil

In 2022, overseas shipments of grain were finally on the rise to reach X tons after two years of decline. In general, exports posted a prominent expansion. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, grain exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports saw a prominent expansion. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Iran (X tons), Spain (X tons) and Japan (X tons) were the main destinations of grain exports from Brazil, together comprising X% of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for grain exported from Brazil were Iran ($X), Spain ($X) and Japan ($X), together comprising X% of total exports. Egypt, Colombia, South Korea, Mexico, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (Chinese), China, Morocco and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

In terms of the main countries of destination, Vietnam, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major foreign markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the countries with the highest prices were Iran ($X per ton) and Mexico ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Italy ($X per ton) and Taiwan (Chinese) ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports into Brazil

In 2022, the amount of grain imported into Brazil declined to X tons, falling by X% on the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2017 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grain imports rose notably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a noticeable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2020 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

Argentina (X tons), Paraguay (X tons) and the United States (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Brazil, with a combined X% share of total imports. Russia and Uruguay lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Argentina ($X) constituted the largest supplier of grain to Brazil, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Paraguay ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by the United States, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Argentina stood at X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Paraguay (X% per year) and the United States (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $X per ton, growing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated a temperate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Paraguay ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Argentina (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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