Canada: Oat Market 2025

Oat Market Size in Canada

The Canadian oat market soared to $X in 2022, rising by 71% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption continues to indicate a strong expansion. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Oat Production in Canada

In value terms, oat production rose modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a perceptible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -1.7% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the production volume increased by 52% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

The average yield of oats in Canada soared to X tons per ha in 2022, with an increase of 24% against the year before. Overall, the yield saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the average oat yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of oats production in Canada rose notably to X ha, with an increase of 5.9% on 2021 figures. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 16%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to oat production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Oat Exports

Exports from Canada

In 2022, shipments abroad of oats decreased by -22.9% to X tons, falling for the second year in a row after three years of growth. Over the period under review, exports saw a perceptible decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, oat exports totaled $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when exports increased by 25% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

The United States (X tons) was the main destination for oat exports from Canada, with a 96% share of total exports. It was followed by Japan (X tons), with a 1.1% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to the United States totaled -2.5%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Japan (-8.5% per year) and Mexico (-37.5% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the key foreign market for oats exports from Canada, comprising 96% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Japan ($X), with a 1.1% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to the United States stood at +1.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Japan (-8.1% per year) and Mexico (-38.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average oat export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 37% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, oat export price increased by +73.9% against 2016 indices. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Mexico ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to the United States (+3.8%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Oat Imports

Imports into Canada

In 2022, approx. X tons of oats were imported into Canada; growing by 43% compared with 2021 figures. Over the period under review, imports showed prominent growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 66% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, oat imports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, imports showed strong growth. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United States (X tons) constituted the largest oat supplier to Canada, with a 79% share of total imports. Moreover, oat imports from the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Sweden (X tons), fourfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from the United States amounted to +4.4%.

In value terms, the United States ($X) and Sweden ($X) constituted the largest oat suppliers to Canada.

Sweden, with a CAGR of +1,887.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average oat import price amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 45% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.0%. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Sweden ($X per ton), while the price for the United States totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Sweden (+19.8%).

Source: IndexBox Platform

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