Central Asia: Almond Market 2025

Almond Market Size in Central Asia

The Central Asian almond market rose markedly to $X in 2021, surging by 12% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.9% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption decreased by -3.1% against 2019 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Almond Production in Central Asia

In value terms, almond production skyrocketed to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, showed a buoyant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 179% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2021, production growth failed to regain momentum.

Uzbekistan (X tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of almond production, comprising approx. 78% of total volume. Moreover, almond production in Uzbekistan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Tajikistan (X tons), sevenfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Kyrgyzstan (X tons), with a 6.4% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume in Uzbekistan totaled +3.8%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Tajikistan (-0.8% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (+0.4% per year).

The average almond yield reached X tons per ha in 2021, approximately reflecting the year before. The yield indicated a strong increase from 2012 to 2021: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +6.4% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, almond yield decreased by -0.5% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the almond yield attained the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the total area harvested in terms of almonds production in Central Asia reduced slightly to X ha, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. In general, the harvested area recorded a perceptible downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 7.1% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of the almond harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Almond Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, shipments abroad of almonds decreased by -4.8% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. Overall, exports, however, saw significant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 1,405% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, almond exports declined to $X in 2021. In general, exports, however, showed significant growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 3,355%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Uzbekistan dominates exports structure, recording X tons, which was near 95% of total exports in 2021. The following exporters - Kazakhstan (X tons) and Tajikistan (X tons) - each finished at a 3.9% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, average annual rates of growth with regard to almond exports from Uzbekistan stood at +32.4%. At the same time, Kazakhstan (+41.3%) and Tajikistan (+8.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kazakhstan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +41.3% from 2012-2021. From 2012 to 2021, the share of Uzbekistan increased by +95 percentage points.

In value terms, Uzbekistan ($X) remains the largest almond supplier in Central Asia, comprising 97% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 1.5% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Uzbekistan stood at +33.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (+35.1% per year) and Tajikistan (+7.6% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -10.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, continues to indicate a strong increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 an increase of 129% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2020, and then dropped in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+0.6%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Almond Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, purchases abroad of almonds increased by 78% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. Overall, imports posted a prominent expansion. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, almond imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a prominent increase. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

The countries with the highest levels of almond imports in 2021 were Tajikistan (X tons), Kazakhstan (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons), together recording 95% of total import. Turkmenistan (X tons) held a minor share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were in Kazakhstan (with a CAGR of +27.0%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Tajikistan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported almonds in Central Asia, comprising 55% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 27% share of total imports. It was followed by Kyrgyzstan, with a 9% share.

In Tajikistan, almond imports expanded at an average annual rate of +30.6% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (+23.1% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (-1.9% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, rising by 38% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, showed a mild decrease. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Turkmenistan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (+6.2%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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