Central Asia: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Central Asia

The Central Asian flaked or rolled cereal market stood at $X in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Central Asia

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production expanded slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 22%. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports in Central Asia

In 2022, overseas shipments of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 13% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, exports recorded a significant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 222% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports soared to $X in 2022. In general, exports saw a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when exports increased by 152%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan prevails in exports structure, amounting to X tons, which was near 97% of total exports in 2022. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to flaked or rolled cereal exports from Kazakhstan stood at +34.1%. At the same time, Kyrgyzstan (+288.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kyrgyzstan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +288.2% from 2012-2022. While the share of Kyrgyzstan (+3.3 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Kazakhstan (-3.3 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest flaked or rolled cereal supplier in Central Asia, comprising 98% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 1.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Kazakhstan amounted to +42.3%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 19% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a prominent expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 51%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (+6.1%).

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, approx. X tons of flaked or rolled cereals were imported in Central Asia; reducing by -4.7% against 2021. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a strong expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 86%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports fell to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, showed a strong expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 57%. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2021, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Imports by Country

Uzbekistan represented the key importing country with an import of around X tons, which accounted for 46% of total imports. Kazakhstan (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 27% share, followed by Turkmenistan (15%) and Mongolia (6.7%). The following importers - Kyrgyzstan (X tons) and Tajikistan (X tons) - together made up 5.8% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Mongolia (with a CAGR of +13.7%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Uzbekistan ($X), Kazakhstan ($X) and Turkmenistan ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for 86% of total imports. Mongolia, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 14%.

Mongolia, with a CAGR of +14.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 3.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, continues to indicate a pronounced descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 21% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton), while Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+4.7%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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