Central Asia: Cereal Market 2025

Cereal Market Size in Central Asia

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in the Central Asian cereal market, when its value decreased by X% to $X. Over the period under review, consumption, however, showed a abrupt setback. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Cereal Production in Central Asia

In value terms, cereal production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Kazakhstan (X tons) remains the largest cereal producing country in Central Asia, accounting for X% of total volume. Moreover, cereal production in Kazakhstan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Uzbekistan (X tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan (X tons), with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in Kazakhstan totaled X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Uzbekistan (X% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (X% per year).

In 2022, the average cereal yield in Central Asia rose remarkably to X tons per ha, with an increase of X% on the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the yield increased by X%. Over the period under review, the cereal yield reached the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the cereal harvested area in Central Asia contracted modestly to X ha, almost unchanged from 2021 figures. Overall, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the cereal harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Cereal Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2022, shipments abroad of cereals increased by X% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by X%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cereal exports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a perceptible expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

The shipments of the one major exporters of cereals, namely Kazakhstan, represented more than two-thirds of total export.

Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of cereals. The shares of the largest exporters remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) also remains the largest cereal supplier in Central Asia.

In Kazakhstan, cereal exports increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by X% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of X%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Kazakhstan amounted to X% per year.

Cereal Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, purchases abroad of cereals increased by X% to X tons, rising for the eighth consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, imports showed strong growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X%. The volume of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, cereal imports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, imports saw a prominent expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by X%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Uzbekistan represented the main importing country with an import of about X tons, which finished at X% of total imports. Kazakhstan (X tons) held a X% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Tajikistan (X%). Kyrgyzstan (X tons) and Turkmenistan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Uzbekistan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported cereals in Central Asia, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kazakhstan ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Tajikistan, with a X% share.

In Uzbekistan, cereal imports increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Kazakhstan (X% per year) and Tajikistan (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Import price indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cereal import price increased by X% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 an increase of X%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Tajikistan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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