Central Asia: Other Cereals Market 2025

Other Cereals Market Size in Central Asia

In 2021, after three years of growth, there was significant decline in the Central Asian other cereals market, when its value decreased by -8.3% to $X. Overall, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Other Cereals Production in Central Asia

In value terms, other cereals production contracted rapidly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a perceptible descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by 137% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The country with the largest volume of other cereals production was Kazakhstan (X tons), comprising approx. 95% of total volume. Moreover, other cereals production in Kazakhstan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Uzbekistan (X tons), more than tenfold.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume in Kazakhstan totaled +1.4%.

The average other cereals yield reached X tons per ha in 2021, almost unchanged from 2020. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when the yield increased by 21% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of the other cereals yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the harvested area of other cerealses in Central Asia contracted slightly to X ha, waning by -2.2% on 2020. Overall, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when the harvested area increased by 77% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of the other cereals harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Other Cereals Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, approx. X tons of other cerealses were exported in Central Asia; waning by -23.7% on 2020 figures. Overall, exports, however, enjoyed a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 1,527% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, other cereals exports shrank notably to $X in 2021. In general, exports, however, enjoyed a significant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 2,210% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X, and then dropped rapidly in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan was the key exporting country with an export of around X tons, which reached 89% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Turkmenistan (X tons), constituting an 11% share of total exports.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the other cerealses exports, with a CAGR of +36.2% from 2012 to 2021. Turkmenistan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. While the share of Turkmenistan (+11 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of Kazakhstan (-11.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest other cereals supplier in Central Asia, comprising 90% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Turkmenistan ($X), with a 9.5% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value in Kazakhstan totaled +33.1%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, shrinking by -1.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a pronounced downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 an increase of 54%. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Turkmenistan amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (-2.3%).

Other Cereals Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, purchases abroad of other cerealses increased by 82% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate significant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 247%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2021 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, other cereals imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. In general, imports recorded buoyant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 283%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan represented the major importing country with an import of around X tons, which reached 72% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Tajikistan (X tons), committing a 26% share of total imports. Mongolia (X tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

Imports into Kazakhstan increased at an average annual rate of +30.8% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Tajikistan (+53.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Tajikistan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +53.8% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Mongolia (-14.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Kazakhstan (+25 p.p.) and Tajikistan (+22 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2021, the share of Mongolia (-47.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported other cerealses in Central Asia, comprising 73% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Tajikistan ($X), with a 13% share of total imports.

In Kazakhstan, other cereals imports increased at an average annual rate of +16.3% over the period from 2012-2021. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Tajikistan (+44.5% per year) and Mongolia (+1.4% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, which is down by -27.5% against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a abrupt shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 an increase of 43%. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Mongolia ($X per ton), while Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mongolia (+19.2%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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